2026 NFL Power Rankings

All 32 teams ranked.

Updated Oct 23, 2026, 4:30 AM ET

At a glance

Rating moves, last 4 games

Biggest gain: +92rating pts; Panthers
Biggest drop: −87rating pts; Eagles
Biggest one-game swing: −20rating pts; Patriots; Lost 30–24 to CHI

Best matchups

This week: SEAvsKC; Sun, Oct 25
Last week: SEAvsDEN; DEN won 17–14

Rankings

Based on 25,000 simulations, 34% into the season.

Playoff chancesLower oddsHigher odds

						Playoff Chances
Rank	Team
1	49ers6-0	Last 4 games: Elo up 50	1660	23	13.7	97%	48%	16%
2	Seahawks3-3	Last 4 games: Elo down 48	1656	16	10.6	84%	7%	9%
3	Bills5-1	Last 4 games: Elo up 9	1653	15	12.3	92%	32%	13%
4	Vikings5-0	Last 4 games: Elo up 53	1629	tied for 28	12.7	92%	29%	11%
5	Broncos4-2	Last 4 games: Elo up 22	1614	1	11.3	83%	16%	8%
6	Jaguars4-2	Last 4 games: Elo up 36	1599	7	11.3	82%	12%	6%
7	Patriots4-3	Last 4 games: Elo up 20	1592	6	10.1	70%	7%	5%
8	Chiefs5-0	Last 4 games: Elo up 52	1580	30	11.7	81%	16%	6%
9	Bears5-2	Last 4 games: Elo up 13	1575	14	10.4	76%	5%	4%
10	Ravens4-2	Last 4 games: Elo up 19	1556	31	10.1	63%	6%	4%
11	Rams2-4	Last 4 games: Elo down 30	1556	5	8.2	45%	<1%	2%
12	Lions3-2	Last 4 games: Elo down 9	1552	tied for 28	9.8	64%	5%	3%
13	Texans2-4	Last 4 games: Elo no change	1547	19	8.5	44%	1%	2%
14	Steelers4-2	Last 4 games: Elo up 36	1540	tied for 24	9.9	58%	5%	3%
15	Packers4-2	Last 4 games: Elo up 19	1534	tied for 24	9.5	58%	3%	2%
16	Bengals3-2	Last 4 games: Elo up 26	1520	22	9.8	55%	4%	2%
17	Panthers3-2	Last 4 games: Elo up 92	1490	12	8.8	44%	2%	1%
18	Eagles2-4	Last 4 games: Elo down 87	1485	20	7.7	32%	<1%	<1%
19	Browns4-2	Last 4 games: Elo up 26	1449	tied for 17	9.2	40%	1%	<1%
20	Falcons2-4	Last 4 games: Elo up 40	1448	tied for 9	6.8	19%	<1%	<1%
21	Giants3-2-1	Last 4 games: Elo no change	1425	32	7.2	27%	<1%	<1%
22	Cowboys2-4	Last 4 games: Elo down 33	1425	26	6.7	16%	<1%	<1%
23	Colts2-4	Last 4 games: Elo down 5	1422	21	6.6	12%	<1%	<1%
24	Buccaneers1-5	Last 4 games: Elo down 17	1422	tied for 9	5.5	10%	<1%	<1%
25	Saints2-4	Last 4 games: Elo down 46	1416	11	6.7	16%	<1%	<1%
26	Raiders3-3	Last 4 games: Elo down 3	1410	tied for 17	7.1	13%	<1%	<1%
27	Chargers0-6	Last 4 games: Elo down 39	1406	3	3.9	2%	<1%	<1%
28	Commanders1-4-1	Last 4 games: Elo down 20	1406	8	5.5	11%	<1%	<1%
29	Cardinals2-4	Last 4 games: Elo down 29	1384	4	6.0	9%	<1%	<1%
30	Jets2-4	Last 4 games: Elo down 2	1370	13	5.7	5%	<1%	<1%
31	Dolphins0-5	Last 4 games: Elo down 54	1366	2	3.7	1%	<1%	<1%
32	Titans1-5	Last 4 games: Elo up 2	1313	27	4	1%	<1%	<1%

Trend: Elo change over each team’s last 4 games (all games so far until a team has played 4)
SoS Rk: SoS Played Rank
Bye: 1st-Round Bye
Title: Win Super Bowl

Battle for No. 1

Who has held No. 1 in our rankings this season, week by week.

Rank comparison

Our rank beside Sagarin, TeamRankings, Massey and ESPN, sorted by their consensus (the average of their ranks).

Rank 32Rank 1

					The other sites
Rank	Team
1	49ers6-0	1	1.0	Agree	1	1	1	1
2	Chiefs5-0	8	2.3	We rank them lower by 5.7	2	2	3	2
3	Bills5-1	3	3.5	We rank them higher by 0.5	3	4	4	3
4	Jaguars4-2	6	4.8	We rank them lower by 1.2	4	3	7	5
tied for 5	Patriots4-3	7	6.8	We rank them lower by 0.2	5	6	6	10
tied for 5	Bears5-2	9	6.8	We rank them lower by 2.2	8	7	8	4
7	Vikings5-0	4	7.3	We rank them higher by 3.3	6	8	2	13
8	Seahawks3-3	2	7.5	We rank them higher by 5.5	7	5	12	6
9	Rams2-4	11	10.5	We rank them lower by 0.5	9	9	17	7
10	Broncos4-2	5	10.8	We rank them higher by 5.8	10	13	5	15
tied for 11	Ravens4-2	10	11.8	We rank them higher by 1.8	11	10	10	16
tied for 11	Bengals3-2	16	11.8	We rank them lower by 4.2	12	11	15	9
13	Lions3-2	12	12.5	We rank them higher by 0.5	13	12	14	11
14	Packers4-2	15	13.0	We rank them lower by 2.0	14	15	9	14
15	Texans2-4	13	14.0	We rank them higher by 1.0	15	14	19	8
16	Steelers4-2	14	15.8	We rank them higher by 1.8	16	17	11	19
17	Panthers3-2	17	16.5	We rank them lower by 0.5	17	16	16	17
18	Cowboys2-4	22	18.5	We rank them lower by 3.5	18	18	26	12
19	Raiders3-3	26	20.5	We rank them lower by 5.5	22	20	18	22
20	Eagles2-4	18	21.5	We rank them higher by 3.5	19	19	20	28
tied for 21	Falcons2-4	20	22.3	We rank them higher by 2.3	20	22	23	24
tied for 21	Colts2-4	23	22.3	We rank them lower by 0.7	23	23	25	18
23	Buccaneers1-5	24	22.8	We rank them lower by 1.2	21	21	29	20
24	Browns4-2	19	23.8	We rank them higher by 4.8	26	29	13	27
25	Chargers0-6	27	25.3	We rank them lower by 1.7	25	24	31	21
26	Giants3-2-1	21	25.5	We rank them higher by 4.5	24	25	22	31
27	Jets2-4	30	25.8	We rank them lower by 4.2	28	28	21	26
28	Saints2-4	25	26.3	We rank them higher by 1.3	27	26	27	25
29	Commanders1-4-1	28	26.8	We rank them lower by 1.2	29	27	28	23
30	Cardinals2-4	29	28.8	We rank them lower by 0.2	31	31	24	29
31	Titans1-5	32	30.0	We rank them lower by 2.0	30	30	30	30
32	Dolphins0-5	31	32.0	We rank them higher by 1.0	32	32	32	32

Guru: Power Rankings Guru
SAG: Sagarin
TR: TeamRankings
MR: Massey