Updated Monday Sep. 30

2024 MLB World Series Odds

MLB team World Series odds tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
CHANCE
CURRENT
CHANCE
CHANGE
1
DodgersLAD98-64
1st 23.4% 25.1%
+ 1.8%
2
YankeesNYY94-68
2nd 10.4% 17.4%
+ 7%
3
PhilliesPHI95-67
3rd 5.1% 10.7%
+ 5.6%
4
OriolesBAL91-71
5th 6.5% 7.2%
+ 0.7%
5
AstrosHOU88-73
8th 9.6% 7.0%
- 2.6%
6
GuardiansCLE92-69
12th <1% 6.9%
+ 5.9%
7
PadresSD93-69
4th <1% 6.9%
+ 5.9%
8
BravesATL89-73
6th 19.7% 5.7%
- 14%
9
MetsNYM89-73
10th <1% 4.9%
+ 3.9%
10
BrewersMIL93-69
7th <1% 4.3%
+ 3.3%
11
TigersDET86-76
15th <1% 2.1%
+ 1.1%
12
RoyalsKC86-76
16th <1% 1.9%
+ 0.9%
13
White SoxCHW41-121
30th <1% <1%
0.0%
14
NationalsWSH71-91
25th <1% <1%
0.0%
15
RedsCIN77-85
20th <1% <1%
0.0%
16
AthleticsOAK69-93
26th <1% <1%
0.0%
17
Red SoxBOS81-81
18th <1% <1%
0.0%
18
GiantsSF80-82
17th <1% <1%
0.0%
19
MarlinsMIA62-100
27th <1% <1%
0.0%
20
AngelsLAA63-99
28th <1% <1%
0.0%
21
RockiesCOL61-101
29th <1% <1%
0.0%
22
PiratesPIT76-86
24th <1% <1%
0.0%
23
CubsCHC83-79
13th 1.3% <1%
- 0.3%
24
DiamondbacksARI89-73
11th 1.6% <1%
- 0.6%
25
RaysTB80-82
21st 1.7% <1%
- 0.7%
26
CardinalsSTL83-79
19th 1.9% <1%
- 0.9%
27
MarinersSEA85-77
9th 2.2% <1%
- 1.2%
28
Blue JaysTOR74-88
22nd 2.7% <1%
- 1.7%
29
TwinsMIN82-80
14th 3.5% <1%
- 2.5%
30
RangersTEX78-84
23rd 6.2% <1%
- 5.2%

How We Calculate: Our World Series champion probabilities are calculated by averaging predictions from numberFire and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current World Series champion probabilities for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.