Updated Monday May. 4

2026 MLB World Series Odds

MLB team World Series odds tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
CHANCE
CURRENT
CHANCE
CHANGE
1
DodgersLAD21-13
2nd 24.8% 26.3%
+ 1.5%
2
YankeesNYY23-11
1st 7.9% 16.9%
+ 9.1%
3
BravesATL25-10
3rd 5.7% 10.5%
+ 4.9%
4
CubsCHC22-12
4th 4.0% 6.7%
+ 2.7%
5
MarinersSEA16-19
8th 8.8% 6.1%
- 2.7%
6
TigersDET18-17
10th 4.0% 5.6%
+ 1.6%
7
RangersTEX16-18
13th 2.7% 3.0%
+ 0.3%
8
Blue JaysTOR16-18
9th 5.1% 2.7%
- 2.4%
9
BrewersMIL18-15
5th 2.3% 2.6%
+ 0.4%
10
PiratesPIT19-16
12th 1.5% 2.4%
+ 1%
11
PhilliesPHI14-20
16th 5.6% 2.4%
- 3.2%
12
RaysTB21-12
7th <1% 1.9%
+ 0.9%
13
Red SoxBOS13-21
15th 5.2% 1.7%
- 3.5%
14
PadresSD20-13
6th 1.5% 1.5%
0.0%
15
OriolesBAL15-19
20th 2.9% 1.5%
- 1.4%
16
GuardiansCLE18-17
11th <1% 1.4%
+ 0.4%
17
MetsNYM12-22
23rd 7.9% 1.4%
- 6.5%
18
AthleticsOAK18-16
18th <1% 1.2%
+ 0.2%
19
RoyalsKC15-19
21st 2.2% 1.2%
- 1%
20
RockiesCOL14-21
30th <1% <1%
0.0%
21
CardinalsSTL20-14
17th <1% <1%
0.0%
22
MarlinsMIA16-18
22nd <1% <1%
0.0%
23
RedsCIN20-14
14th <1% <1%
0.0%
24
AngelsLAA13-22
29th <1% <1%
0.0%
25
White SoxCHW16-18
28th <1% <1%
0.0%
26
NationalsWSH16-19
26th <1% <1%
0.0%
27
TwinsMIN15-20
27th <1% <1%
0.0%
28
DiamondbacksARI16-17
19th 1.1% <1%
- 0.1%
29
GiantsSF13-21
25th 1.3% <1%
- 0.3%
30
AstrosHOU14-21
24th 2.4% <1%
- 1.4%

How We Calculate: Our World Series champion probabilities are calculated by averaging predictions from FanGraphs and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current World Series champion probabilities for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.