Updated Sunday May. 5

2024 MLB World Series Odds

MLB team World Series odds tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
CHANCE
CURRENT
CHANCE
CHANGE
1
DodgersLAD22-13
1st 23.4% 26.4%
+ 3.1%
2
BravesATL20-11
5th 19.7% 17.5%
- 2.2%
3
YankeesNYY22-13
4th 10.4% 11.0%
+ 0.6%
4
OriolesBAL22-11
2nd 6.5% 9.5%
+ 3%
5
PhilliesPHI23-11
3rd 5.1% 7.2%
+ 2.1%
6
RangersTEX18-16
7th 6.2% 6.3%
+ 0.1%
7
TwinsMIN19-13
9th 3.5% 4.4%
+ 0.9%
8
AstrosHOU12-21
17th 9.6% 4.2%
- 5.4%
9
MarinersSEA18-15
6th 2.2% 3.3%
+ 1.1%
10
CubsCHC20-14
8th 1.3% 2.0%
+ 0.7%
11
GuardiansCLE21-12
12th <1% 1.3%
+ 0.3%
12
Blue JaysTOR16-18
19th 2.7% 1.1%
- 1.6%
13
MarlinsMIA9-26
28th <1% <1%
0.0%
14
AngelsLAA12-21
27th <1% <1%
0.0%
15
NationalsWSH16-17
26th <1% <1%
0.0%
16
PiratesPIT15-19
25th <1% <1%
0.0%
17
GiantsSF15-19
23rd <1% <1%
0.0%
18
AthleticsOAK17-17
21st <1% <1%
0.0%
19
White SoxCHW7-26
29th <1% <1%
0.0%
20
RockiesCOL8-25
30th <1% <1%
0.0%
21
BrewersMIL20-12
10th <1% <1%
0.0%
22
Red SoxBOS18-16
11th <1% <1%
0.0%
23
PadresSD18-18
13th <1% <1%
0.0%
24
MetsNYM16-17
14th <1% <1%
0.0%
25
TigersDET18-15
15th <1% <1%
0.0%
26
RoyalsKC20-14
16th <1% <1%
0.0%
27
RedsCIN16-17
18th <1% <1%
0.0%
28
DiamondbacksARI14-20
20th 1.6% <1%
- 0.6%
29
RaysTB16-18
22nd 1.7% <1%
- 0.7%
30
CardinalsSTL15-18
24th 1.9% <1%
- 0.9%

How We Calculate: Our World Series champion probabilities are calculated by averaging predictions from numberFire and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current World Series champion probabilities for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.