Updated Monday Jan. 6
2024 NFL Playoff Odds
NFL team playoff odds tracked from the preseason to current day.
| TEAM | GURU RANK |
PRESEASON PROJECTIONPRESEASON PROJ |
CURRENT PROJECTIONCURRENT PROJ |
CHANGE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
BroncosDEN10-7
|
10th | 10.1% | >99% | + 88.9% |
| 2 |
CommandersWSH12-5
|
11th | 14.1% | >99% | + 84.9% |
| 3 |
VikingsMIN14-3
|
6th | 20.4% | >99% | + 78.6% |
| 4 |
SteelersPIT10-7
|
14th | 31.8% | >99% | + 67.2% |
| 5 |
BuccaneersTB10-7
|
8th | 38.4% | >99% | + 60.6% |
| 6 |
ChargersLAC11-6
|
9th | 42.3% | >99% | + 56.7% |
| 7 |
RamsLAR10-7
|
13th | 45.7% | >99% | + 53.3% |
| 8 |
TexansHOU10-7
|
15th | 58.6% | >99% | + 40.4% |
| 9 |
PackersGB11-6
|
5th | 62.2% | >99% | + 36.8% |
| 10 |
BillsBUF13-4
|
4th | 67.6% | >99% | + 31.4% |
| 11 |
LionsDET15-2
|
1st | 72.5% | >99% | + 26.5% |
| 12 |
EaglesPHI14-3
|
3rd | 73.0% | >99% | + 26% |
| 13 |
RavensBAL12-5
|
2nd | 74.0% | >99% | + 25% |
| 14 |
ChiefsKC15-2
|
7th | 83.3% | >99% | + 15.7% |
| 15 |
PatriotsNE4-13
|
28th | 3.4% | <1% | - 2.4% |
| 16 |
PanthersCAR5-12
|
32nd | 7.7% | <1% | - 6.7% |
| 17 |
GiantsNYG3-14
|
31st | 14.4% | <1% | - 13.4% |
| 18 |
TitansTEN3-14
|
29th | 14.9% | <1% | - 13.9% |
| 19 |
RaidersOAK4-13
|
25th | 19.6% | <1% | - 18.6% |
| 20 |
CardinalsARI8-9
|
17th | 21.9% | <1% | - 20.9% |
| 21 |
SeahawksSEA10-7
|
16th | 30.0% | <1% | - 29% |
| 22 |
SaintsNO5-12
|
26th | 33.8% | <1% | - 32.8% |
| 23 |
BrownsCLE3-14
|
30th | 37.0% | <1% | - 36% |
| 24 |
ColtsIND8-9
|
23rd | 37.7% | <1% | - 36.7% |
| 25 |
JaguarsJAX4-13
|
27th | 38.0% | <1% | - 37% |
| 26 |
BearsCHI5-12
|
21st | 45.9% | <1% | - 44.9% |
| 27 |
JetsNYJ5-12
|
22nd | 52.8% | <1% | - 51.8% |
| 28 |
DolphinsMIA8-9
|
19th | 59.0% | <1% | - 58% |
| 29 |
FalconsATL8-9
|
20th | 65.8% | <1% | - 64.8% |
| 30 |
BengalsCIN9-8
|
12th | 69.9% | <1% | - 68.9% |
| 31 |
CowboysDAL7-10
|
24th | 72.1% | <1% | - 71.1% |
| 32 |
49ersSF6-11
|
18th | 82.2% | <1% | - 81.2% |
How We Calculate: Our NFL playoff probabilities are calculated by averaging predictions from numberFire, ESPN and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current playoff probabilities for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.
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