Updated Tuesday Oct. 8

2024 NFL Playoff Odds

NFL team playoff odds tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
PRESEASON
PROJ
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJ
CHANGE
1
ChiefsKC5-0
1st 83.3% 98.7%
+ 15.4%
2
RavensBAL3-2
2nd 74.0% 89.3%
+ 15.3%
3
VikingsMIN5-0
4th 20.4% 87.8%
+ 67.4%
4
TexansHOU4-1
8th 58.6% 87.8%
+ 29.2%
5
BillsBUF3-2
3rd 67.6% 86.6%
+ 19%
6
LionsDET3-1
5th 72.5% 68.3%
- 4.2%
7
CommandersWSH4-1
12th 14.1% 67.0%
+ 52.9%
8
FalconsATL3-2
16th 65.8% 62.4%
- 3.4%
9
SteelersPIT3-2
9th 31.8% 61.8%
+ 30%
10
JetsNYJ2-3
13th 52.8% 60.6%
+ 7.8%
11
PackersGB3-2
6th 62.2% 56.4%
- 5.8%
12
49ersSF2-3
7th 82.2% 56.4%
- 25.8%
13
ChargersLAC2-2
19th 42.3% 52.5%
+ 10.2%
14
EaglesPHI2-2
10th 73.0% 51.9%
- 21.1%
15
BuccaneersTB3-2
17th 38.4% 48.8%
+ 10.4%
16
SaintsNO2-3
15th 33.8% 45.6%
+ 11.8%
17
CowboysDAL3-2
11th 72.1% 45.5%
- 26.6%
18
BroncosDEN3-2
22nd 10.1% 42.9%
+ 32.8%
19
ColtsIND2-3
21st 37.7% 38.6%
+ 0.9%
20
BearsCHI3-2
14th 45.9% 34.8%
- 11.1%
21
SeahawksSEA3-2
20th 30.0% 31.5%
+ 1.5%
22
BengalsCIN1-4
18th 69.9% 31.1%
- 38.8%
23
CardinalsARI2-3
23rd 21.9% 26.9%
+ 5%
24
TitansTEN1-3
25th 14.9% 14.6%
- 0.3%
25
DolphinsMIA2-3
28th 59.0% 12.4%
- 46.6%
26
RaidersOAK2-3
29th 19.6% 9.9%
- 9.7%
27
GiantsNYG2-3
26th 14.4% 8.9%
- 5.5%
28
RamsLAR1-4
24th 45.7% 7.6%
- 38.1%
29
JaguarsJAX1-4
27th 38.0% 6.8%
- 31.2%
30
BrownsCLE1-4
30th 37.0% 3.9%
- 33.1%
31
PatriotsNE1-4
31st 3.4% 2.4%
- 1%
32
PanthersCAR1-4
32nd 7.7% <1%
- 6.7%

How We Calculate: Our NFL playoff probabilities are calculated by averaging predictions from numberFire, ESPN and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current playoff probabilities for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.