Updated Monday Jan. 6
2024 NFL Team Win Projections
NFL team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.
| TEAM | GURU RANK |
PRESEASON PROJECTION |
CURRENT PROJECTION |
CHANGE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
LionsDET15-2
|
1st | 10.0 | 15.0 |
+ 5
|
| 2 |
ChiefsKC15-2
|
7th | 11.2 | 15.0 |
+ 3.8
|
| 3 |
VikingsMIN14-3
|
6th | 7.3 | 14.1 |
+ 6.8
|
| 4 |
EaglesPHI14-3
|
3rd | 9.8 | 14.1 |
+ 4.3
|
| 5 |
BillsBUF13-4
|
4th | 10.3 | 13.2 |
+ 2.9
|
| 6 |
RavensBAL12-5
|
2nd | 10.8 | 12.2 |
+ 1.4
|
| 7 |
CommandersWSH12-5
|
11th | 6.3 | 12.1 |
+ 5.8
|
| 8 |
ChargersLAC11-6
|
9th | 8.5 | 11.2 |
+ 2.7
|
| 9 |
PackersGB11-6
|
5th | 9.8 | 11.1 |
+ 1.3
|
| 10 |
BuccaneersTB10-7
|
8th | 8.5 | 10.2 |
+ 1.7
|
| 11 |
BroncosDEN10-7
|
10th | 6.3 | 10.1 |
+ 3.8
|
| 12 |
SteelersPIT10-7
|
14th | 8.1 | 10.1 |
+ 2
|
| 13 |
RamsLAR10-7
|
13th | 8.9 | 10.1 |
+ 1.2
|
| 14 |
TexansHOU10-7
|
15th | 9.0 | 10.1 |
+ 1.1
|
| 15 |
SeahawksSEA10-7
|
16th | 7.8 | 10.0 |
+ 2.2
|
| 16 |
BengalsCIN9-8
|
12th | 10.2 | 9.0 |
- 1.2
|
| 17 |
CardinalsARI8-9
|
17th | 7.2 | 8.0 |
+ 0.8
|
| 18 |
ColtsIND8-9
|
23rd | 8.2 | 8.0 |
- 0.2
|
| 19 |
FalconsATL8-9
|
20th | 9.1 | 8.0 |
- 1.1
|
| 20 |
DolphinsMIA8-9
|
19th | 9.4 | 8.0 |
- 1.4
|
| 21 |
CowboysDAL7-10
|
24th | 10.2 | 7.0 |
- 3.2
|
| 22 |
49ersSF6-11
|
18th | 11.0 | 6.0 |
- 5
|
| 23 |
PanthersCAR5-12
|
32nd | 5.4 | 5.0 |
- 0.4
|
| 24 |
SaintsNO5-12
|
26th | 8.3 | 5.0 |
- 3.3
|
| 25 |
JetsNYJ5-12
|
22nd | 8.6 | 5.0 |
- 3.6
|
| 26 |
BearsCHI5-12
|
21st | 8.7 | 5.0 |
- 3.7
|
| 27 |
PatriotsNE4-13
|
28th | 5.4 | 4.0 |
- 1.4
|
| 28 |
RaidersOAK4-13
|
25th | 7.3 | 4.0 |
- 3.3
|
| 29 |
JaguarsJAX4-13
|
27th | 8.1 | 4.0 |
- 4.1
|
| 30 |
GiantsNYG3-14
|
31st | 6.4 | 3.0 |
- 3.4
|
| 31 |
TitansTEN3-14
|
29th | 6.9 | 3.0 |
- 3.9
|
| 32 |
BrownsCLE3-14
|
30th | 8.3 | 3.0 |
- 5.3
|
How We Calculate: Our NFL win projections are calculated by averaging predictions from numberFire, ESPN, Massey Ratings and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current win projections for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.
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