Updated Tuesday Oct. 8

2024 NFL Team Win Projections

NFL team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CHANGE
1
ChiefsKC5-0
1st 11.2 13.4
+ 2.2
2
VikingsMIN5-0
4th 7.3 12.3
+ 5
3
RavensBAL3-2
2nd 10.8 11.1
+ 0.3
4
BillsBUF3-2
3rd 10.3 10.7
+ 0.4
5
TexansHOU4-1
8th 9.0 10.4
+ 1.4
6
LionsDET3-1
5th 10.0 10.3
+ 0.3
7
CommandersWSH4-1
12th 6.3 10.2
+ 3.9
8
PackersGB3-2
6th 9.8 10.1
+ 0.3
9
FalconsATL3-2
16th 9.1 9.5
+ 0.4
10
CowboysDAL3-2
11th 10.2 9.5
- 0.7
11
BuccaneersTB3-2
17th 8.5 9.4
+ 0.9
12
EaglesPHI2-2
10th 9.8 9.4
- 0.4
13
SteelersPIT3-2
9th 8.1 9.3
+ 1.2
14
SaintsNO2-3
15th 8.3 9.3
+ 1
15
49ersSF2-3
7th 11.0 9.3
- 1.7
16
ChargersLAC2-2
19th 8.5 8.8
+ 0.3
17
BearsCHI3-2
14th 8.7 8.8
+ 0.1
18
JetsNYJ2-3
13th 8.6 8.6
0.0
19
BroncosDEN3-2
22nd 6.3 8.5
+ 2.2
20
SeahawksSEA3-2
20th 7.8 8.3
+ 0.5
21
ColtsIND2-3
21st 8.2 8.0
- 0.2
22
CardinalsARI2-3
23rd 7.2 7.7
+ 0.5
23
BengalsCIN1-4
18th 10.2 7.5
- 2.7
24
GiantsNYG2-3
26th 6.4 6.8
+ 0.4
25
DolphinsMIA2-3
28th 9.4 6.5
- 2.9
26
TitansTEN1-3
25th 6.9 6.4
- 0.5
27
RamsLAR1-4
24th 8.9 6.3
- 2.6
28
RaidersOAK2-3
29th 7.3 6.2
- 1.1
29
JaguarsJAX1-4
27th 8.1 5.5
- 2.6
30
PatriotsNE1-4
31st 5.4 4.7
- 0.7
31
BrownsCLE1-4
30th 8.3 4.7
- 3.6
32
PanthersCAR1-4
32nd 5.4 3.8
- 1.6

How We Calculate: Our NFL win projections are calculated by averaging predictions from numberFire, ESPN, Massey Ratings and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current win projections for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.