Updated Monday Jul. 15

2024 MLB Team Win Projections

MLB team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CHANGE
1
PhilliesPHI62-34
2nd 91.4 99.9
+ 8.5
2
YankeesNYY58-40
3rd 93.3 96.7
+ 3.4
3
DodgersLAD56-41
1st 102.0 96.2
- 5.8
4
OriolesBAL58-38
4th 90.6 95.8
+ 5.2
5
BravesATL53-42
5th 99.8 92.5
- 7.3
6
GuardiansCLE58-37
9th 76.5 90.7
+ 14.2
7
TwinsMIN54-42
6th 88.8 90.1
+ 1.3
8
BrewersMIL55-42
8th 75.2 88.3
+ 13.1
9
AstrosHOU50-46
10th 95.5 87.2
- 8.3
10
MarinersSEA52-46
7th 87.3 86.5
- 0.8
11
Red SoxBOS53-42
11th 78.0 86.4
+ 8.4
12
MetsNYM49-46
12th 82.8 83.9
+ 1.1
13
PadresSD50-49
13th 82.2 83.4
+ 1.2
14
RoyalsKC52-45
18th 69.5 82.5
+ 13
15
DiamondbacksARI49-48
15th 83.5 82.1
- 1.4
16
CardinalsSTL50-46
19th 84.4 82.0
- 2.4
17
RangersTEX46-50
14th 92.1 81.4
- 10.7
18
CubsCHC47-51
16th 84.0 80.9
- 3.1
19
GiantsSF47-50
21st 79.1 79.8
+ 0.7
20
RedsCIN47-50
17th 79.5 79.7
+ 0.2
21
RaysTB48-48
20th 87.2 79.4
- 7.8
22
TigersDET47-50
22nd 75.9 78.6
+ 2.7
23
PiratesPIT48-48
23rd 70.0 77.1
+ 7.1
24
Blue JaysTOR44-52
24th 87.4 76.2
- 11.2
25
NationalsWSH44-53
26th 65.9 72.4
+ 6.5
26
AngelsLAA41-55
25th 68.9 70.3
+ 1.4
27
AthleticsOAK37-61
27th 59.7 62.6
+ 2.9
28
MarlinsMIA33-63
28th 73.9 59.3
- 14.6
29
RockiesCOL34-63
30th 60.3 56.1
- 4.2
30
White SoxCHW27-71
29th 64.6 50.9
- 13.7

How We Calculate: Our MLB win projections are calculated by averaging predictions from numberFire, Massey Ratings and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current win projections for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.