Updated Wednesday May. 22

2019 MLB Playoff Odds

MLB team playoff odds tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
PRESEASON
PROJ
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJ
CHANGE
1
AstrosHOU33-16
1st 89.5% >99%
+ 9.5%
2
DodgersLAD32-17
2nd 81.1% 98.4%
+ 17.3%
3
YankeesNYY30-17
3rd 87.9% 93.2%
+ 5.3%
4
TwinsMIN32-16
5th 32.4% 90.5%
+ 58.1%
5
CubsCHC28-18
4th 46.1% 75.4%
+ 29.3%
6
RaysTB27-18
7th 40.8% 71.4%
+ 30.6%
7
PhilliesPHI28-20
12th 54.2% 66.7%
+ 12.5%
8
BrewersMIL28-22
6th 49.6% 64.3%
+ 14.7%
9
Red SoxBOS25-23
8th 80.2% 60.6%
- 19.6%
10
IndiansCLE25-22
13th 81.1% 53.3%
- 27.8%
11
BravesATL26-23
10th 40.3% 51.8%
+ 11.5%
12
CardinalsSTL24-23
9th 42.3% 42.7%
+ 0.4%
13
DiamondbacksARI25-24
11th 14.4% 22.4%
+ 8%
14
MetsNYM22-25
19th 37.2% 21.1%
- 16.1%
15
AthleticsOAK24-25
14th 30.7% 17.8%
- 12.9%
16
NationalsWSH19-29
20th 50.3% 13.5%
- 36.8%
17
PiratesPIT24-21
18th 17.0% 13.2%
- 3.8%
18
RockiesCOL21-25
17th 32.2% 10.8%
- 21.4%
19
PadresSD25-24
16th 14.1% 10.4%
- 3.7%
20
RedsCIN22-26
15th 15.2% 8.4%
- 6.8%
21
RangersTEX23-23
21st 4.0% 5.4%
+ 1.4%
22
AngelsLAA22-26
22nd 22.3% 4.1%
- 18.2%
23
MarinersSEA23-28
23rd 13.9% 2.3%
- 11.6%
24
GiantsSF21-26
24th 4.7% 1.2%
- 3.5%
25
MarlinsMIA14-31
29th <1% <1%
0.0%
26
OriolesBAL15-33
30th <1% <1%
0.0%
27
RoyalsKC16-31
27th 2.9% <1%
- 1.9%
28
TigersDET18-27
28th 3.2% <1%
- 2.2%
29
White SoxCHW21-26
26th 5.5% <1%
- 4.5%
30
Blue JaysTOR20-28
25th 5.7% <1%
- 4.7%

How We Calculate: Our playoff probabilities are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current playoff probabilities for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.