Updated Tuesday Jul. 23

2019 MLB Playoff Odds

MLB team playoff odds tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
PRESEASON
PROJ
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJ
CHANGE
1
DodgersLAD67-35
1st 81.1% >99%
+ 17.9%
2
YankeesNYY64-35
3rd 87.9% >99%
+ 11.1%
3
AstrosHOU65-37
2nd 89.5% >99%
+ 9.5%
4
BravesATL60-41
5th 40.3% 96.7%
+ 56.4%
5
TwinsMIN61-38
4th 32.4% 95.6%
+ 63.2%
6
CubsCHC54-46
6th 46.1% 70.1%
+ 24%
7
IndiansCLE58-41
12th 81.1% 68.4%
- 12.7%
8
NationalsWSH52-46
10th 50.3% 61.4%
+ 11.1%
9
RaysTB57-46
8th 40.8% 53.5%
+ 12.7%
10
AthleticsOAK57-44
9th 30.7% 45.4%
+ 14.7%
11
CardinalsSTL52-47
14th 42.3% 41.8%
- 0.5%
12
BrewersMIL53-49
13th 49.6% 41.3%
- 8.3%
13
PhilliesPHI52-48
17th 54.2% 34.9%
- 19.3%
14
Red SoxBOS55-46
7th 80.2% 34.0%
- 46.2%
15
DiamondbacksARI51-50
11th 14.4% 28.9%
+ 14.5%
16
GiantsSF51-50
19th 4.7% 6.3%
+ 1.6%
17
RedsCIN45-53
16th 15.2% 4.7%
- 10.5%
18
MetsNYM45-54
18th 37.2% 4.6%
- 32.6%
19
AngelsLAA52-49
15th 22.3% 4.0%
- 18.3%
20
RockiesCOL47-52
20th 32.2% 3.3%
- 28.9%
21
PiratesPIT46-53
22nd 17.0% 3.1%
- 13.9%
22
PadresSD47-52
21st 14.1% 2.9%
- 11.2%
23
OriolesBAL31-68
29th <1% <1%
0.0%
24
MarlinsMIA36-62
27th <1% <1%
0.0%
25
RoyalsKC37-64
28th 2.9% <1%
- 1.9%
26
TigersDET30-65
30th 3.2% <1%
- 2.2%
27
RangersTEX50-50
23rd 4.0% <1%
- 3%
28
White SoxCHW45-52
26th 5.5% <1%
- 4.5%
29
Blue JaysTOR38-64
25th 5.7% <1%
- 4.7%
30
MarinersSEA41-62
24th 13.9% <1%
- 12.9%

How We Calculate: Our playoff probabilities are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current playoff probabilities for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.