Updated Monday Aug. 15

2022 MLB Playoff Odds

MLB team playoff odds tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
PRESEASON
PROJ
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJ
CHANGE
1
MetsNYM75-40
3rd 41.7% >99%
+ 57.3%
2
YankeesNYY72-43
2nd 82.8% >99%
+ 16.2%
3
AstrosHOU75-41
4th 83.5% >99%
+ 15.5%
4
BravesATL70-46
5th 86.1% >99%
+ 12.9%
5
DodgersLAD79-34
1st 96.1% >99%
+ 2.9%
6
CardinalsSTL63-51
9th 60.9% 82.6%
+ 21.7%
7
Blue JaysTOR61-52
7th 62.7% 82.1%
+ 19.4%
8
PhilliesPHI63-51
6th 36.4% 81.4%
+ 45%
9
MarinersSEA62-54
11th 33.4% 80.1%
+ 46.7%
10
PadresSD65-52
8th 44.7% 73.9%
+ 29.2%
11
GuardiansCLE61-53
15th 13.6% 69.1%
+ 55.5%
12
BrewersMIL61-52
10th 84.7% 55.1%
- 29.6%
13
RaysTB60-53
12th 72.5% 50.2%
- 22.3%
14
White SoxCHW59-56
17th 83.9% 48.9%
- 35%
15
TwinsMIN58-55
16th 26.8% 44.0%
+ 17.2%
16
Red SoxBOS57-59
14th 50.8% 13.2%
- 37.6%
17
OriolesBAL59-55
18th <1% 11.4%
+ 10.4%
18
GiantsSF57-57
13th 63.7% 7.9%
- 55.8%
19
PiratesPIT45-70
29th 2.1% <1%
- 1.1%
20
AthleticsOAK41-74
27th 2.8% <1%
- 1.8%
21
DiamondbacksARI53-61
22nd 3.1% <1%
- 2.1%
22
RockiesCOL51-66
24th 4.1% <1%
- 3.1%
23
NationalsWSH38-78
30th 5.6% <1%
- 4.6%
24
RangersTEX51-63
20th 5.8% <1%
- 4.8%
25
RoyalsKC48-68
26th 7.2% <1%
- 6.2%
26
TigersDET43-73
28th 8.1% <1%
- 7.1%
27
CubsCHC47-66
23rd 10.2% <1%
- 9.2%
28
MarlinsMIA50-65
21st 12.4% <1%
- 11.4%
29
RedsCIN45-68
25th 15.3% <1%
- 14.3%
30
AngelsLAA51-64
19th 32.2% <1%
- 31.2%

How We Calculate: Our playoff probabilities are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current playoff probabilities for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.