Updated Monday Sep. 16

2019 MLB Playoff Odds

MLB team playoff odds tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
PRESEASON
PROJ
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJ
CHANGE
1
TwinsMIN91-58
7th 32.4% >99%
+ 66.6%
2
BravesATL93-58
6th 40.3% >99%
+ 58.7%
3
DodgersLAD97-54
2nd 81.1% >99%
+ 17.9%
4
YankeesNYY98-53
3rd 87.9% >99%
+ 11.1%
5
AstrosHOU98-53
1st 89.5% >99%
+ 9.5%
6
AthleticsOAK90-60
4th 30.7% 96.8%
+ 66.1%
7
NationalsWSH82-66
5th 50.3% 92.3%
+ 42%
8
CardinalsSTL83-66
8th 42.3% 87.4%
+ 45.1%
9
RaysTB89-62
10th 40.8% 66.2%
+ 25.4%
10
CubsCHC81-68
9th 46.1% 65.8%
+ 19.7%
11
BrewersMIL80-69
14th 49.6% 48.2%
- 1.4%
12
IndiansCLE87-63
11th 81.1% 37.5%
- 43.6%
13
MetsNYM77-72
12th 37.2% 4.7%
- 32.5%
14
PhilliesPHI76-72
16th 54.2% 1.2%
- 53%
15
MarlinsMIA52-97
27th <1% <1%
0.0%
16
OriolesBAL49-100
29th <1% <1%
0.0%
17
RoyalsKC55-95
28th 2.9% <1%
- 1.9%
18
TigersDET44-104
30th 3.2% <1%
- 2.2%
19
RangersTEX74-77
22nd 4.0% <1%
- 3%
20
GiantsSF72-78
18th 4.7% <1%
- 3.7%
21
White SoxCHW65-84
26th 5.5% <1%
- 4.5%
22
Blue JaysTOR59-91
25th 5.7% <1%
- 4.7%
23
MarinersSEA62-88
24th 13.9% <1%
- 12.9%
24
PadresSD68-81
19th 14.1% <1%
- 13.1%
25
DiamondbacksARI76-74
15th 14.4% <1%
- 13.4%
26
RedsCIN70-80
17th 15.2% <1%
- 14.2%
27
PiratesPIT65-85
21st 17.0% <1%
- 16%
28
AngelsLAA68-82
20th 22.3% <1%
- 21.3%
29
RockiesCOL65-85
23rd 32.2% <1%
- 31.2%
30
Red SoxBOS79-70
13th 80.2% <1%
- 79.2%

How We Calculate: Our playoff probabilities are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current playoff probabilities for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.