Updated Wednesday May. 18

2022 MLB Playoff Odds

MLB team playoff odds tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
PRESEASON
PROJ
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJ
CHANGE
1
DodgersLAD25-12
1st 96.1% >99%
+ 2.9%
2
YankeesNYY28-9
3rd 82.8% 95.6%
+ 12.8%
3
AstrosHOU24-14
2nd 83.5% 95.6%
+ 12.1%
4
BrewersMIL24-14
8th 84.7% 91.6%
+ 6.9%
5
RaysTB23-15
10th 72.5% 77.4%
+ 4.9%
6
GiantsSF22-15
5th 63.7% 77.2%
+ 13.5%
7
White SoxCHW18-18
13th 83.9% 73.1%
- 10.8%
8
CardinalsSTL20-16
12th 60.9% 69.0%
+ 8.1%
9
BravesATL17-21
11th 86.1% 67.9%
- 18.2%
10
Blue JaysTOR20-18
4th 62.7% 61.7%
- 1%
11
MetsNYM24-14
6th 41.7% 54.9%
+ 13.2%
12
PadresSD23-14
7th 44.7% 54.4%
+ 9.7%
13
AngelsLAA24-15
9th 32.2% 50.3%
+ 18.1%
14
TwinsMIN22-16
15th 26.8% 37.3%
+ 10.5%
15
Red SoxBOS15-22
16th 50.8% 31.4%
- 19.4%
16
PhilliesPHI18-19
14th 36.4% 30.9%
- 5.5%
17
MarinersSEA17-21
18th 33.4% 22.0%
- 11.4%
18
GuardiansCLE16-18
19th 13.6% 15.4%
+ 1.8%
19
MarlinsMIA17-19
17th 12.4% 10.1%
- 2.3%
20
CubsCHC15-20
22nd 10.2% 6.1%
- 4.1%
21
RangersTEX16-19
20th 5.8% 4.1%
- 1.7%
22
DiamondbacksARI18-21
23rd 3.1% 1.9%
- 1.2%
23
RockiesCOL18-19
25th 4.1% 1.6%
- 2.5%
24
RedsCIN10-26
24th 15.3% 1.4%
- 13.9%
25
TigersDET13-25
27th 8.1% 1.2%
- 6.9%
26
RoyalsKC13-22
28th 7.2% 1.1%
- 6.1%
27
OriolesBAL14-24
29th <1% <1%
0.0%
28
PiratesPIT15-21
30th 2.1% <1%
- 1.1%
29
AthleticsOAK16-24
21st 2.8% <1%
- 1.8%
30
NationalsWSH12-26
26th 5.6% <1%
- 4.6%

How We Calculate: Our playoff probabilities are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current playoff probabilities for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.