Updated Saturday Apr. 1

2023 MLB Playoff Odds

MLB team playoff odds tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
PRESEASON
PROJ
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJ
CHANGE
1
DodgersLAD1-1
2nd 88.4% 89.1%
+ 0.7%
2
YankeesNYY1-0
1st 84.6% 87.3%
+ 2.7%
3
AstrosHOU1-1
5th 87.0% 86.4%
- 0.6%
4
BravesATL1-0
3rd 82.7% 84.1%
+ 1.4%
5
MetsNYM1-1
7th 82.7% 82.0%
- 0.7%
6
PadresSD0-2
17th 81.0% 76.0%
- 5%
7
Blue JaysTOR1-0
6th 68.4% 68.5%
+ 0.1%
8
CardinalsSTL0-1
14th 66.5% 68.2%
+ 1.7%
9
PhilliesPHI0-1
12th 67.8% 64.7%
- 3.1%
10
GuardiansCLE1-1
10th 61.3% 62.1%
+ 0.8%
11
RaysTB1-0
4th 55.9% 57.0%
+ 1.1%
12
TwinsMIN1-0
8th 51.4% 53.6%
+ 2.2%
13
MarinersSEA1-1
11th 56.0% 53.0%
- 3%
14
BrewersMIL0-1
19th 51.5% 49.2%
- 2.3%
15
White SoxCHW1-1
16th 41.0% 42.1%
+ 1.1%
16
AngelsLAA0-1
21st 34.2% 30.1%
- 4.1%
17
GiantsSF0-1
22nd 28.1% 26.9%
- 1.2%
18
RangersTEX1-0
13th 22.6% 24.6%
+ 2%
19
CubsCHC1-0
20th 18.6% 22.1%
+ 3.5%
20
Red SoxBOS0-1
23rd 19.2% 16.4%
- 2.8%
21
MarlinsMIA1-1
18th 13.7% 15.8%
+ 2.1%
22
OriolesBAL1-0
9th 11.4% 12.9%
+ 1.5%
23
DiamondbacksARI1-1
26th 9.9% 10.7%
+ 0.8%
24
PiratesPIT1-0
25th 3.8% 4.6%
+ 0.8%
25
RedsCIN0-1
27th 3.5% 3.1%
- 0.4%
26
TigersDET0-1
28th 3.7% 2.9%
- 0.8%
27
RockiesCOL2-0
15th 1.4% 2.6%
+ 1.2%
28
RoyalsKC0-1
29th 2.4% 1.8%
- 0.6%
29
AthleticsOAK1-0
24th <1% 1.1%
+ 0.1%
30
NationalsWSH0-1
30th <1% <1%
0.0%

How We Calculate: Our playoff probabilities are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current playoff probabilities for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.