Updated Tuesday Oct. 2nd

2018 MLB Playoff Odds

MLB team playoff odds tracked from the preseason to current day.

Our MLB data was last updated on the final day of the 2018 MLB regular season. Please check back this coming March for our coverage of the 2019 MLB season.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
PRESEASON
PROJ
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJ
CHANGE
1
BravesATL90-72
9th 11.2% >99%
+ 87.8%
2
AthleticsOAK97-65
5th 12.5% >99%
+ 86.5%
3
RockiesCOL91-72
13th 25.8% >99%
+ 73.2%
4
BrewersMIL96-67
8th 45.3% >99%
+ 53.7%
5
Red SoxBOS108-54
2nd 62.0% >99%
+ 37%
6
CubsCHC95-68
6th 78.3% >99%
+ 20.7%
7
DodgersLAD92-71
3rd 79.5% >99%
+ 19.5%
8
YankeesNYY100-62
4th 80.8% >99%
+ 18.2%
9
IndiansCLE91-71
7th 86.5% >99%
+ 12.5%
10
AstrosHOU103-59
1st 86.7% >99%
+ 12.3%
11
MarlinsMIA63-98
28th 2.5% <1%
- 1.5%
12
TigersDET64-98
27th 2.9% <1%
- 1.9%
13
PadresSD66-96
23rd 4.8% <1%
- 3.8%
14
White SoxCHW62-100
26th 5.2% <1%
- 4.2%
15
RoyalsKC58-104
29th 6.2% <1%
- 5.2%
16
RedsCIN67-95
24th 7.5% <1%
- 6.5%
17
OriolesBAL47-115
30th 10.2% <1%
- 9.2%
18
PiratesPIT82-79
16th 11.4% <1%
- 10.4%
19
RaysTB90-72
11th 13.5% <1%
- 12.5%
20
PhilliesPHI80-82
19th 18.0% <1%
- 17%
21
RangersTEX67-95
25th 19.2% <1%
- 18.2%
22
GiantsSF73-89
21st 20.6% <1%
- 19.6%
23
Blue JaysTOR73-89
22nd 24.2% <1%
- 23.2%
24
MetsNYM77-85
18th 26.2% <1%
- 25.2%
25
TwinsMIN78-84
20th 29.5% <1%
- 28.5%
26
MarinersSEA89-73
14th 30.0% <1%
- 29%
27
AngelsLAA80-82
17th 30.7% <1%
- 29.7%
28
CardinalsSTL88-74
10th 45.6% <1%
- 44.6%
29
DiamondbacksARI82-80
15th 46.0% <1%
- 45%
30
NationalsWSH82-80
12th 77.2% <1%
- 76.2%

How We Calculate: Our playoff probabilities are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current playoff probabilities for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.