Updated Monday Sep. 30

2019 MLB Playoff Odds

MLB team playoff odds tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
PRESEASON
PROJ
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJ
CHANGE
1
AthleticsOAK97-65
5th 30.7% >99%
+ 68.3%
2
TwinsMIN101-61
6th 32.4% >99%
+ 66.6%
3
BravesATL97-65
7th 40.3% >99%
+ 58.7%
4
RaysTB96-66
9th 40.8% >99%
+ 58.2%
5
CardinalsSTL91-71
8th 42.3% >99%
+ 56.7%
6
BrewersMIL89-73
11th 49.6% >99%
+ 49.4%
7
NationalsWSH93-69
4th 50.3% >99%
+ 48.7%
8
DodgersLAD106-56
2nd 81.1% >99%
+ 17.9%
9
YankeesNYY103-59
3rd 87.9% >99%
+ 11.1%
10
AstrosHOU107-55
1st 89.5% >99%
+ 9.5%
11
OriolesBAL54-108
29th <1% <1%
0.0%
12
MarlinsMIA57-105
27th <1% <1%
0.0%
13
RoyalsKC59-103
28th 2.9% <1%
- 1.9%
14
TigersDET47-114
30th 3.2% <1%
- 2.2%
15
RangersTEX78-84
19th 4.0% <1%
- 3%
16
GiantsSF77-85
18th 4.7% <1%
- 3.7%
17
White SoxCHW72-89
25th 5.5% <1%
- 4.5%
18
Blue JaysTOR67-95
24th 5.7% <1%
- 4.7%
19
MarinersSEA68-94
26th 13.9% <1%
- 12.9%
20
PadresSD70-92
21st 14.1% <1%
- 13.1%
21
DiamondbacksARI85-77
15th 14.4% <1%
- 13.4%
22
RedsCIN75-87
17th 15.2% <1%
- 14.2%
23
PiratesPIT69-93
23rd 17.0% <1%
- 16%
24
AngelsLAA72-90
20th 22.3% <1%
- 21.3%
25
RockiesCOL71-91
22nd 32.2% <1%
- 31.2%
26
MetsNYM86-76
10th 37.2% <1%
- 36.2%
27
CubsCHC84-78
12th 46.1% <1%
- 45.1%
28
PhilliesPHI81-81
16th 54.2% <1%
- 53.2%
29
Red SoxBOS84-78
14th 80.2% <1%
- 79.2%
30
IndiansCLE93-69
13th 81.1% <1%
- 80.1%

How We Calculate: Our playoff probabilities are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current playoff probabilities for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.