Updated Thursday Oct. 6

2022 MLB Team Win Projections

MLB team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CHANGE
1
DodgersLAD111-51
1st 90.7 111.0
+ 20.3
2
AstrosHOU106-56
2nd 85.1 106.0
+ 20.9
3
MetsNYM101-61
5th 83.1 101.0
+ 17.9
4
BravesATL101-61
4th 84.2 101.0
+ 16.8
5
YankeesNYY99-63
3rd 87.8 99.0
+ 11.2
6
CardinalsSTL93-69
7th 83.3 93.0
+ 9.7
7
GuardiansCLE92-70
12th 79.3 92.0
+ 12.7
8
Blue JaysTOR92-70
6th 86.0 92.0
+ 6
9
MarinersSEA90-72
8th 83.2 90.0
+ 6.8
10
PadresSD89-73
11th 83.1 89.0
+ 5.9
11
PhilliesPHI87-75
10th 83.3 87.0
+ 3.7
12
RaysTB86-76
9th 85.4 86.0
+ 0.6
13
BrewersMIL86-76
13th 86.9 86.0
- 0.9
14
OriolesBAL83-79
18th 67.7 83.0
+ 15.3
15
GiantsSF81-81
14th 85.3 81.0
- 4.3
16
White SoxCHW81-81
16th 86.1 81.0
- 5.1
17
TwinsMIN78-84
15th 80.0 78.0
- 2
18
Red SoxBOS78-84
17th 83.3 78.0
- 5.3
19
DiamondbacksARI74-88
20th 69.0 74.0
+ 5
20
CubsCHC74-88
21st 76.1 74.0
- 2.1
21
AngelsLAA73-89
19th 82.3 73.0
- 9.3
22
MarlinsMIA69-93
23rd 76.7 69.0
- 7.7
23
RockiesCOL68-94
26th 73.3 68.0
- 5.3
24
RangersTEX68-94
22nd 74.3 68.0
- 6.3
25
TigersDET66-96
24th 76.8 66.0
- 10.8
26
RoyalsKC65-97
25th 76.6 65.0
- 11.6
27
PiratesPIT62-100
29th 71.7 62.0
- 9.7
28
RedsCIN62-100
27th 78.9 62.0
- 16.9
29
AthleticsOAK60-102
28th 74.5 60.0
- 14.5
30
NationalsWSH55-107
30th 73.0 55.1
- 17.9

How We Calculate: Our MLB win projections are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire, Massey Ratings and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current win projections for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.