Updated Saturday Apr. 1

2023 MLB Team Win Projections

MLB team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CHANGE
1
YankeesNYY1-0
1st 93.4 94.9
+ 1.5
2
DodgersLAD1-1
2nd 94.2 94.0
- 0.2
3
AstrosHOU1-1
5th 93.9 93.9
0.0
4
BravesATL1-0
3rd 91.6 91.7
+ 0.1
5
MetsNYM1-1
7th 92.2 91.6
- 0.6
6
PadresSD0-2
17th 91.4 89.3
- 2.1
7
Blue JaysTOR1-0
6th 88.6 88.9
+ 0.3
8
PhilliesPHI0-1
12th 88.2 87.2
- 1
9
RaysTB1-0
4th 86.2 86.7
+ 0.5
10
GuardiansCLE1-1
10th 86.3 86.5
+ 0.2
11
CardinalsSTL0-1
14th 86.6 86.5
- 0.1
12
MarinersSEA1-1
11th 86.3 85.7
- 0.6
13
TwinsMIN1-0
8th 84.3 85.1
+ 0.8
14
BrewersMIL0-1
19th 83.7 82.7
- 1
15
White SoxCHW1-1
16th 82.5 82.5
0.0
16
AngelsLAA0-1
21st 81.7 80.9
- 0.8
17
GiantsSF0-1
22nd 80.8 80.1
- 0.7
18
RangersTEX1-0
13th 79.1 80.0
+ 0.9
19
CubsCHC1-0
20th 77.0 78.0
+ 1
20
Red SoxBOS0-1
23rd 78.6 77.8
- 0.8
21
OriolesBAL1-0
9th 76.5 77.5
+ 1
22
MarlinsMIA1-1
18th 76.6 76.9
+ 0.3
23
DiamondbacksARI1-1
26th 75.2 74.8
- 0.4
24
RockiesCOL2-0
15th 67.9 70.3
+ 2.4
25
PiratesPIT1-0
25th 69.2 69.8
+ 0.6
26
TigersDET0-1
28th 70.4 69.8
- 0.6
27
RedsCIN0-1
27th 69.2 68.6
- 0.6
28
RoyalsKC0-1
29th 68.2 67.4
- 0.8
29
AthleticsOAK1-0
24th 64.4 65.3
+ 0.9
30
NationalsWSH0-1
30th 65.3 64.7
- 0.6

How We Calculate: Our MLB win projections are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire, Massey Ratings and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current win projections for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.