Updated Monday Sep. 30

2019 MLB Team Win Projections

MLB team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.

	TEAM	GURU RANK	PRESEASON PROJECTION	CURRENT PROJECTION	CHANGE
1	AstrosHOU107-55	1st	96.9	107.0	+ 10.1
2	DodgersLAD106-56	2nd	93.4	106.0	+ 12.6
3	YankeesNYY103-59	3rd	95.6	103.0	+ 7.4
4	TwinsMIN101-61	6th	82.6	101.0	+ 18.4
5	BravesATL97-65	7th	83.5	97.0	+ 13.5
6	AthleticsOAK97-65	5th	84.3	97.0	+ 12.7
7	RaysTB96-66	9th	85.9	96.0	+ 10.1
8	NationalsWSH93-69	4th	86.8	93.0	+ 6.2
9	IndiansCLE93-69	13th	90.9	93.0	+ 2.1
10	CardinalsSTL91-71	8th	84.8	91.0	+ 6.2
11	BrewersMIL89-73	11th	87.9	89.0	+ 1.1
12	MetsNYM86-76	10th	83.0	86.0	+ 3
13	DiamondbacksARI85-77	15th	79.0	85.0	+ 6
14	CubsCHC84-78	12th	85.1	84.0	- 1.1
15	Red SoxBOS84-78	14th	96.3	84.0	- 12.3
16	PhilliesPHI81-81	16th	85.0	81.0	- 4
17	RangersTEX78-84	19th	72.0	78.0	+ 6
18	GiantsSF77-85	18th	72.8	77.0	+ 4.2
19	RedsCIN75-87	17th	76.5	75.0	- 1.5
20	White SoxCHW72-89	25th	71.7	72.0	+ 0.3
21	AngelsLAA72-90	20th	80.2	72.0	- 8.2
22	RockiesCOL71-91	22nd	82.0	71.0	- 11
23	PadresSD70-92	21st	75.1	70.0	- 5.1
24	PiratesPIT69-93	23rd	79.0	69.0	- 10
25	MarinersSEA68-94	26th	77.6	68.0	- 9.6
26	Blue JaysTOR67-95	24th	72.9	67.0	- 5.9
27	RoyalsKC59-103	28th	70.3	59.0	- 11.3
28	MarlinsMIA57-105	27th	67.0	57.0	- 10
29	OriolesBAL54-108	29th	62.0	54.0	- 8
30	TigersDET47-114	30th	69.5	47.0	- 22.5

How We Calculate: Our MLB win projections are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire, Massey Ratings and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current win projections for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.

2019 MLB Team Win Projections

MLB team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.

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