Updated Thursday Jun. 25
2026 MLB Team Win Projections
MLB team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.
| TEAM | GURU RANK |
PRESEASON PROJECTION |
CURRENT PROJECTION |
CHANGE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
DodgersLAD52-29
|
1st | 96.8 | 101.3 |
+ 4.5
|
| 2 |
BrewersMIL49-29
|
2nd | 85.6 | 95.9 |
+ 10.3
|
| 3 |
YankeesNYY48-31
|
3rd | 88.6 | 95.0 |
+ 6.4
|
| 4 |
BravesATL48-31
|
4th | 86.4 | 93.0 |
+ 6.6
|
| 5 |
PhilliesPHI44-36
|
6th | 88.3 | 87.5 |
- 0.8
|
| 6 |
CubsCHC43-37
|
5th | 86.8 | 85.9 |
- 0.9
|
| 7 |
RaysTB44-33
|
8th | 79.6 | 85.7 |
+ 6.1
|
| 8 |
MarinersSEA41-40
|
7th | 88.0 | 84.4 |
- 3.6
|
| 9 |
PadresSD42-37
|
9th | 83.4 | 83.1 |
- 0.3
|
| 10 |
GuardiansCLE42-39
|
10th | 79.0 | 82.9 |
+ 3.9
|
| 11 |
DiamondbacksARI41-39
|
14th | 81.3 | 81.3 |
0.0
|
| 12 |
CardinalsSTL42-36
|
15th | 74.1 | 81.2 |
+ 7.1
|
| 13 |
Blue JaysTOR39-41
|
11th | 86.3 | 81.2 |
- 5.1
|
| 14 |
PiratesPIT40-40
|
13th | 79.7 | 80.4 |
+ 0.7
|
| 15 |
MarlinsMIA42-39
|
12th | 74.6 | 80.0 |
+ 5.4
|
| 16 |
RangersTEX38-42
|
16th | 83.4 | 79.9 |
- 3.5
|
| 17 |
AstrosHOU39-43
|
19th | 83.0 | 79.1 |
- 3.9
|
| 18 |
White SoxCHW41-38
|
20th | 68.7 | 78.3 |
+ 9.6
|
| 19 |
OriolesBAL38-44
|
17th | 82.5 | 78.1 |
- 4.4
|
| 20 |
NationalsWSH41-40
|
21st | 67.9 | 77.4 |
+ 9.5
|
| 21 |
TigersDET34-46
|
23rd | 84.0 | 76.4 |
- 7.6
|
| 22 |
AthleticsOAK38-42
|
26th | 76.0 | 76.3 |
+ 0.3
|
| 23 |
TwinsMIN38-44
|
27th | 76.8 | 76.2 |
- 0.6
|
| 24 |
RedsCIN37-42
|
24th | 79.9 | 75.4 |
- 4.5
|
| 25 |
Red SoxBOS32-46
|
18th | 85.8 | 75.3 |
- 10.5
|
| 26 |
MetsNYM34-46
|
22nd | 87.9 | 75.0 |
- 12.9
|
| 27 |
GiantsSF33-46
|
25th | 81.2 | 73.7 |
- 7.5
|
| 28 |
RoyalsKC34-47
|
28th | 81.8 | 73.5 |
- 8.3
|
| 29 |
AngelsLAA34-48
|
29th | 71.5 | 69.8 |
- 1.7
|
| 30 |
RockiesCOL32-49
|
30th | 60.9 | 63.6 |
+ 2.7
|
How We Calculate: Our MLB win projections are calculated by averaging predictions from FanGraphs, Massey Ratings and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current win projections for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.
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