Updated Monday Oct. 4

2021 MLB Team Win Projections

MLB team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.

	TEAM	GURU RANK	PRESEASON PROJECTION	CURRENT PROJECTION	CHANGE
1	GiantsSF107-55	4th	75.5	107.0	+ 31.5
2	DodgersLAD106-56	1st	103.8	106.0	+ 2.2
3	RaysTB100-62	2nd	88.0	100.0	+ 12
4	BrewersMIL95-67	9th	81.2	95.0	+ 13.8
5	AstrosHOU95-67	3rd	90.1	95.0	+ 4.9
6	White SoxCHW93-69	6th	91.3	93.0	+ 1.7
7	Red SoxBOS92-70	10th	77.0	92.0	+ 15
8	YankeesNYY92-70	8th	97.9	92.0	- 5.9
9	Blue JaysTOR91-71	5th	85.5	91.0	+ 5.5
10	MarinersSEA90-72	17th	70.4	90.0	+ 19.6
11	CardinalsSTL90-72	13th	83.8	90.0	+ 6.2
12	BravesATL88-73	7th	91.0	88.0	- 3
13	AthleticsOAK86-76	11th	87.5	86.0	- 1.5
14	RedsCIN83-79	14th	82.1	83.0	+ 0.9
15	PhilliesPHI82-80	15th	80.9	82.0	+ 1.1
16	IndiansCLE80-82	16th	83.7	80.0	- 3.7
17	PadresSD79-83	12th	95.1	79.0	- 16.1
18	TigersDET77-85	20th	63.6	77.0	+ 13.4
19	AngelsLAA77-85	19th	83.2	77.0	- 6.2
20	MetsNYM77-85	18th	90.4	77.0	- 13.4
21	RockiesCOL74-87	23rd	64.4	74.0	+ 9.6
22	RoyalsKC74-88	25th	71.9	74.0	+ 2.1
23	TwinsMIN73-89	22nd	89.5	73.0	- 16.5
24	CubsCHC71-91	26th	81.2	71.0	- 10.2
25	MarlinsMIA67-95	24th	65.7	67.0	+ 1.3
26	NationalsWSH65-97	21st	83.4	65.0	- 18.4
27	PiratesPIT61-101	29th	62.4	61.0	- 1.4
28	RangersTEX60-102	27th	65.9	60.0	- 5.9
29	OriolesBAL52-110	30th	67.4	52.0	- 15.4
30	DiamondbacksARI52-110	28th	75.6	52.0	- 23.6

How We Calculate: Our MLB win projections are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire, Massey Ratings and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current win projections for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.

2021 MLB Team Win Projections

MLB team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.

Follow Us

Quick Links