Updated Monday Sep. 16

2019 MLB Team Win Projections

MLB team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CHANGE
1
AstrosHOU98-53
1st 96.9 105.1
+ 8.2
2
YankeesNYY98-53
3rd 95.6 104.7
+ 9.1
3
DodgersLAD97-54
2nd 93.4 104.0
+ 10.6
4
TwinsMIN91-58
7th 82.6 99.8
+ 17.2
5
BravesATL93-58
6th 83.5 99.2
+ 15.7
6
AthleticsOAK90-60
4th 84.3 97.5
+ 13.2
7
RaysTB89-62
10th 85.9 94.8
+ 8.9
8
IndiansCLE87-63
11th 90.9 93.9
+ 3
9
NationalsWSH82-66
5th 86.8 89.8
+ 3
10
CardinalsSTL83-66
8th 84.8 89.3
+ 4.5
11
CubsCHC81-68
9th 85.1 88.1
+ 3
12
BrewersMIL80-69
14th 87.9 87.0
- 0.9
13
Red SoxBOS79-70
13th 96.3 86.1
- 10.2
14
MetsNYM77-72
12th 83.0 84.1
+ 1.1
15
DiamondbacksARI76-74
15th 79.0 82.6
+ 3.6
16
PhilliesPHI76-72
16th 85.0 82.2
- 2.8
17
RangersTEX74-77
22nd 72.0 78.1
+ 6.1
18
GiantsSF72-78
18th 72.8 77.0
+ 4.2
19
RedsCIN70-80
17th 76.5 75.9
- 0.6
20
PadresSD68-81
19th 75.1 73.8
- 1.3
21
AngelsLAA68-82
20th 80.2 72.5
- 7.7
22
White SoxCHW65-84
26th 71.7 71.1
- 0.6
23
PiratesPIT65-85
21st 79.0 70.6
- 8.4
24
RockiesCOL65-85
23rd 82.0 70.1
- 11.9
25
MarinersSEA62-88
24th 77.6 67.5
- 10.1
26
Blue JaysTOR59-91
25th 72.9 64.8
- 8.1
27
RoyalsKC55-95
28th 70.3 59.1
- 11.2
28
MarlinsMIA52-97
27th 67.0 56.9
- 10.1
29
OriolesBAL49-100
29th 62.0 54.5
- 7.5
30
TigersDET44-104
30th 69.5 49.2
- 20.3

How We Calculate: Our MLB win projections are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire, Massey Ratings and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current win projections for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.