Updated Wednesday May. 22

2019 MLB Team Win Projections

MLB team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CHANGE
1
AstrosHOU33-16
1st 96.9 104.8
+ 7.9
2
DodgersLAD32-17
2nd 93.4 100.7
+ 7.3
3
TwinsMIN32-16
5th 82.6 97.7
+ 15.1
4
YankeesNYY30-17
3rd 95.6 97.0
+ 1.4
5
CubsCHC28-18
4th 85.1 91.7
+ 6.6
6
RaysTB27-18
7th 85.9 91.0
+ 5.1
7
PhilliesPHI28-20
12th 85.0 88.9
+ 3.9
8
BrewersMIL28-22
6th 87.9 88.8
+ 0.9
9
Red SoxBOS25-23
8th 96.3 87.9
- 8.4
10
IndiansCLE25-22
13th 90.9 86.9
- 4
11
BravesATL26-23
10th 83.5 86.3
+ 2.8
12
CardinalsSTL24-23
9th 84.8 85.7
+ 0.9
13
DiamondbacksARI25-24
11th 79.0 83.0
+ 4
14
AthleticsOAK24-25
14th 84.3 81.1
- 3.2
15
MetsNYM22-25
19th 83.0 80.3
- 2.7
16
RangersTEX23-23
21st 72.0 78.8
+ 6.8
17
PadresSD25-24
16th 75.1 78.2
+ 3.1
18
PiratesPIT24-21
18th 79.0 78.2
- 0.8
19
RedsCIN22-26
15th 76.5 77.8
+ 1.3
20
RockiesCOL21-25
17th 82.0 77.1
- 4.9
21
AngelsLAA22-26
22nd 80.2 76.8
- 3.4
22
NationalsWSH19-29
20th 86.8 76.8
- 10
23
MarinersSEA23-28
23rd 77.6 73.9
- 3.7
24
GiantsSF21-26
24th 72.8 69.9
- 2.9
25
Blue JaysTOR20-28
25th 72.9 69.7
- 3.2
26
White SoxCHW21-26
26th 71.7 69.3
- 2.4
27
RoyalsKC16-31
27th 70.3 66.6
- 3.7
28
TigersDET18-27
28th 69.5 64.9
- 4.6
29
MarlinsMIA14-31
29th 67.0 59.3
- 7.7
30
OriolesBAL15-33
30th 62.0 57.2
- 4.8

How We Calculate: Our MLB win projections are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire, Massey Ratings and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current win projections for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.