Updated Thursday Oct. 6
2022 MLB Team Win Projections
MLB team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.
| TEAM | GURU RANK |
PRESEASON PROJECTION |
CURRENT PROJECTION |
CHANGE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
DodgersLAD111-51
|
1st | 90.7 | 111.0 |
+ 20.3
|
| 2 |
AstrosHOU106-56
|
2nd | 85.1 | 106.0 |
+ 20.9
|
| 3 |
MetsNYM101-61
|
5th | 83.1 | 101.0 |
+ 17.9
|
| 4 |
BravesATL101-61
|
4th | 84.2 | 101.0 |
+ 16.8
|
| 5 |
YankeesNYY99-63
|
3rd | 87.8 | 99.0 |
+ 11.2
|
| 6 |
CardinalsSTL93-69
|
7th | 83.3 | 93.0 |
+ 9.7
|
| 7 |
GuardiansCLE92-70
|
12th | 79.3 | 92.0 |
+ 12.7
|
| 8 |
Blue JaysTOR92-70
|
6th | 86.0 | 92.0 |
+ 6
|
| 9 |
MarinersSEA90-72
|
8th | 83.2 | 90.0 |
+ 6.8
|
| 10 |
PadresSD89-73
|
11th | 83.1 | 89.0 |
+ 5.9
|
| 11 |
PhilliesPHI87-75
|
10th | 83.3 | 87.0 |
+ 3.7
|
| 12 |
RaysTB86-76
|
9th | 85.4 | 86.0 |
+ 0.6
|
| 13 |
BrewersMIL86-76
|
13th | 86.9 | 86.0 |
- 0.9
|
| 14 |
OriolesBAL83-79
|
18th | 67.7 | 83.0 |
+ 15.3
|
| 15 |
GiantsSF81-81
|
14th | 85.3 | 81.0 |
- 4.3
|
| 16 |
White SoxCHW81-81
|
16th | 86.1 | 81.0 |
- 5.1
|
| 17 |
TwinsMIN78-84
|
15th | 80.0 | 78.0 |
- 2
|
| 18 |
Red SoxBOS78-84
|
17th | 83.3 | 78.0 |
- 5.3
|
| 19 |
DiamondbacksARI74-88
|
20th | 69.0 | 74.0 |
+ 5
|
| 20 |
CubsCHC74-88
|
21st | 76.1 | 74.0 |
- 2.1
|
| 21 |
AngelsLAA73-89
|
19th | 82.3 | 73.0 |
- 9.3
|
| 22 |
MarlinsMIA69-93
|
23rd | 76.7 | 69.0 |
- 7.7
|
| 23 |
RockiesCOL68-94
|
26th | 73.3 | 68.0 |
- 5.3
|
| 24 |
RangersTEX68-94
|
22nd | 74.3 | 68.0 |
- 6.3
|
| 25 |
TigersDET66-96
|
24th | 76.8 | 66.0 |
- 10.8
|
| 26 |
RoyalsKC65-97
|
25th | 76.6 | 65.0 |
- 11.6
|
| 27 |
PiratesPIT62-100
|
29th | 71.7 | 62.0 |
- 9.7
|
| 28 |
RedsCIN62-100
|
27th | 78.9 | 62.0 |
- 16.9
|
| 29 |
AthleticsOAK60-102
|
28th | 74.5 | 60.0 |
- 14.5
|
| 30 |
NationalsWSH55-107
|
30th | 73.0 | 55.1 |
- 17.9
|
How We Calculate: Our MLB win projections are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire, Massey Ratings and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current win projections for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.
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