Updated Monday Sep. 30

2019 MLB Team Win Projections

MLB team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CHANGE
1
AstrosHOU107-55
1st 96.9 107.0
+ 10.1
2
DodgersLAD106-56
2nd 93.4 106.0
+ 12.6
3
YankeesNYY103-59
3rd 95.6 103.0
+ 7.4
4
TwinsMIN101-61
6th 82.6 101.0
+ 18.4
5
BravesATL97-65
7th 83.5 97.0
+ 13.5
6
AthleticsOAK97-65
5th 84.3 97.0
+ 12.7
7
RaysTB96-66
9th 85.9 96.0
+ 10.1
8
NationalsWSH93-69
4th 86.8 93.0
+ 6.2
9
IndiansCLE93-69
13th 90.9 93.0
+ 2.1
10
CardinalsSTL91-71
8th 84.8 91.0
+ 6.2
11
BrewersMIL89-73
11th 87.9 89.0
+ 1.1
12
MetsNYM86-76
10th 83.0 86.0
+ 3
13
DiamondbacksARI85-77
15th 79.0 85.0
+ 6
14
CubsCHC84-78
12th 85.1 84.0
- 1.1
15
Red SoxBOS84-78
14th 96.3 84.0
- 12.3
16
PhilliesPHI81-81
16th 85.0 81.0
- 4
17
RangersTEX78-84
19th 72.0 78.0
+ 6
18
GiantsSF77-85
18th 72.8 77.0
+ 4.2
19
RedsCIN75-87
17th 76.5 75.0
- 1.5
20
White SoxCHW72-89
25th 71.7 72.0
+ 0.3
21
AngelsLAA72-90
20th 80.2 72.0
- 8.2
22
RockiesCOL71-91
22nd 82.0 71.0
- 11
23
PadresSD70-92
21st 75.1 70.0
- 5.1
24
PiratesPIT69-93
23rd 79.0 69.0
- 10
25
MarinersSEA68-94
26th 77.6 68.0
- 9.6
26
Blue JaysTOR67-95
24th 72.9 67.0
- 5.9
27
RoyalsKC59-103
28th 70.3 59.0
- 11.3
28
MarlinsMIA57-105
27th 67.0 57.0
- 10
29
OriolesBAL54-108
29th 62.0 54.0
- 8
30
TigersDET47-114
30th 69.5 47.0
- 22.5

How We Calculate: Our MLB win projections are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire, Massey Ratings and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current win projections for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.