Updated Tuesday Jul. 23

2019 MLB Team Win Projections

MLB team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CHANGE
1
DodgersLAD67-35
1st 93.4 104.6
+ 11.2
2
AstrosHOU65-37
2nd 96.9 102.0
+ 5.1
3
YankeesNYY64-35
3rd 95.6 101.4
+ 5.8
4
TwinsMIN61-38
4th 82.6 98.1
+ 15.5
5
BravesATL60-41
5th 83.5 93.4
+ 9.9
6
IndiansCLE58-41
12th 90.9 92.1
+ 1.2
7
RaysTB57-46
8th 85.9 90.4
+ 4.5
8
AthleticsOAK57-44
9th 84.3 89.7
+ 5.4
9
Red SoxBOS55-46
7th 96.3 87.6
- 8.7
10
CubsCHC54-46
6th 85.1 87.5
+ 2.4
11
NationalsWSH52-46
10th 86.8 86.0
- 0.8
12
CardinalsSTL52-47
14th 84.8 84.0
- 0.8
13
BrewersMIL53-49
13th 87.9 83.7
- 4.2
14
PhilliesPHI52-48
17th 85.0 83.5
- 1.5
15
DiamondbacksARI51-50
11th 79.0 83.1
+ 4.1
16
AngelsLAA52-49
15th 80.2 82.2
+ 2
17
RangersTEX50-50
23rd 72.0 78.8
+ 6.8
18
GiantsSF51-50
19th 72.8 78.3
+ 5.5
19
RedsCIN45-53
16th 76.5 77.4
+ 0.9
20
MetsNYM45-54
18th 83.0 77.3
- 5.7
21
RockiesCOL47-52
20th 82.0 76.4
- 5.6
22
PadresSD47-52
21st 75.1 76.2
+ 1.1
23
PiratesPIT46-53
22nd 79.0 76.1
- 2.9
24
White SoxCHW45-52
26th 71.7 74.0
+ 2.3
25
MarinersSEA41-62
24th 77.6 68.2
- 9.4
26
Blue JaysTOR38-64
25th 72.9 63.7
- 9.2
27
RoyalsKC37-64
28th 70.3 63.5
- 6.8
28
MarlinsMIA36-62
27th 67.0 62.0
- 5
29
TigersDET30-65
30th 69.5 55.2
- 14.3
30
OriolesBAL31-68
29th 62.0 55.1
- 6.9

How We Calculate: Our MLB win projections are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire, Massey Ratings and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current win projections for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.