Updated Monday Jun. 24

2024 MLB Team Win Projections

MLB team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CHANGE
1
YankeesNYY52-28
2nd 93.3 101.8
+ 8.5
2
DodgersLAD48-31
1st 102.0 101.0
- 1
3
PhilliesPHI51-26
4th 91.4 100.5
+ 9.1
4
OriolesBAL49-28
3rd 90.6 98.8
+ 8.2
5
BravesATL43-32
6th 99.8 94.4
- 5.4
6
GuardiansCLE49-26
5th 76.5 93.5
+ 17
7
MarinersSEA45-35
7th 87.3 89.1
+ 1.8
8
BrewersMIL45-33
9th 75.2 88.2
+ 13
9
TwinsMIN43-35
10th 88.8 87.9
- 0.9
10
AstrosHOU38-40
11th 95.5 85.6
- 9.9
11
Red SoxBOS42-36
8th 78.0 84.8
+ 6.8
12
PadresSD41-41
12th 82.2 83.2
+ 1
13
MetsNYM37-39
13th 82.8 82.2
- 0.6
14
RangersTEX37-40
14th 92.1 81.8
- 10.3
15
RoyalsKC42-37
17th 69.5 81.2
+ 11.7
16
CardinalsSTL39-37
16th 84.4 81.2
- 3.2
17
CubsCHC37-41
19th 84.0 79.7
- 4.3
18
DiamondbacksARI38-40
18th 83.5 79.5
- 4
19
RedsCIN36-41
15th 79.5 79.3
- 0.2
20
RaysTB38-40
20th 87.2 78.0
- 9.2
21
GiantsSF36-42
23rd 79.1 77.0
- 2.1
22
Blue JaysTOR35-42
24th 87.4 76.4
- 11
23
TigersDET36-41
22nd 75.9 76.3
+ 0.4
24
NationalsWSH38-39
21st 65.9 75.0
+ 9.1
25
PiratesPIT37-40
25th 70.0 73.6
+ 3.6
26
AngelsLAA30-46
26th 68.9 68.0
- 0.9
27
MarlinsMIA27-50
28th 73.9 61.3
- 12.6
28
AthleticsOAK29-51
27th 59.7 60.4
+ 0.7
29
RockiesCOL27-51
29th 60.3 56.5
- 3.8
30
White SoxCHW21-58
30th 64.6 51.8
- 12.8

How We Calculate: Our MLB win projections are calculated by averaging predictions from numberFire, Massey Ratings and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current win projections for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.