Updated Wednesday May. 18

2022 MLB Team Win Projections

MLB team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CHANGE
1
DodgersLAD25-12
1st 90.7 103.0
+ 12.3
2
YankeesNYY28-9
3rd 87.8 99.4
+ 11.6
3
AstrosHOU24-14
2nd 85.1 96.7
+ 11.6
4
GiantsSF22-15
5th 85.3 93.9
+ 8.6
5
BrewersMIL24-14
8th 86.9 93.8
+ 6.9
6
RaysTB23-15
10th 85.4 90.4
+ 5
7
Blue JaysTOR20-18
4th 86.0 89.5
+ 3.5
8
MetsNYM24-14
6th 83.1 87.2
+ 4.1
9
PadresSD23-14
7th 83.1 87.0
+ 3.9
10
CardinalsSTL20-16
12th 83.3 86.5
+ 3.2
11
White SoxCHW18-18
13th 86.1 86.5
+ 0.4
12
AngelsLAA24-15
9th 82.3 86.3
+ 4
13
BravesATL17-21
11th 84.2 84.5
+ 0.3
14
PhilliesPHI18-19
14th 83.3 83.8
+ 0.5
15
MarinersSEA17-21
18th 83.2 81.5
- 1.7
16
Red SoxBOS15-22
16th 83.3 81.5
- 1.8
17
TwinsMIN22-16
15th 80.0 81.1
+ 1.1
18
GuardiansCLE16-18
19th 79.3 79.1
- 0.2
19
MarlinsMIA17-19
17th 76.7 74.2
- 2.5
20
AthleticsOAK16-24
21st 74.5 72.8
- 1.7
21
CubsCHC15-20
22nd 76.1 72.4
- 3.7
22
RockiesCOL18-19
25th 73.3 71.5
- 1.8
23
RedsCIN10-26
24th 78.9 70.2
- 8.7
24
RangersTEX16-19
20th 74.3 69.2
- 5.1
25
TigersDET13-25
27th 76.8 68.9
- 7.9
26
RoyalsKC13-22
28th 76.6 68.0
- 8.6
27
DiamondbacksARI18-21
23rd 69.0 66.3
- 2.7
28
NationalsWSH12-26
26th 73.0 64.4
- 8.6
29
PiratesPIT15-21
30th 71.7 61.2
- 10.5
30
OriolesBAL14-24
29th 67.7 59.2
- 8.5

How We Calculate: Our MLB win projections are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire, Massey Ratings and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current win projections for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.