Updated Monday Oct. 2

2023 MLB Team Win Projections

MLB team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CHANGE
1
BravesATL104-58
1st 91.6 104.0
+ 12.4
2
OriolesBAL101-61
11th 76.5 101.0
+ 24.5
3
DodgersLAD100-62
2nd 94.2 100.0
+ 5.8
4
RaysTB99-63
3rd 86.2 99.4
+ 13.2
5
BrewersMIL92-70
12th 83.7 92.4
+ 8.7
6
PhilliesPHI90-72
8th 88.2 90.4
+ 2.2
7
RangersTEX90-72
7th 79.1 90.3
+ 11.2
8
AstrosHOU90-72
4th 93.9 90.0
- 3.9
9
Blue JaysTOR89-73
9th 88.6 89.4
+ 0.8
10
MarinersSEA88-74
6th 86.3 88.0
+ 1.7
11
TwinsMIN87-75
10th 84.3 87.3
+ 3
12
MarlinsMIA84-77
17th 76.6 84.4
+ 7.8
13
DiamondbacksARI84-78
19th 75.2 84.3
+ 9.1
14
CubsCHC83-79
14th 77.0 83.0
+ 6
15
RedsCIN82-80
21st 69.2 82.0
+ 12.8
16
PadresSD82-80
5th 91.4 82.0
- 9.4
17
YankeesNYY82-80
13th 93.4 82.0
- 11.4
18
GiantsSF79-83
18th 80.8 79.0
- 1.8
19
TigersDET78-84
23rd 70.4 78.0
+ 7.6
20
Red SoxBOS78-84
16th 78.6 78.0
- 0.6
21
PiratesPIT76-86
25th 69.2 76.0
+ 6.8
22
GuardiansCLE76-86
20th 86.3 76.0
- 10.3
23
MetsNYM74-87
15th 92.2 74.5
- 17.7
24
AngelsLAA73-89
22nd 81.7 73.0
- 8.7
25
NationalsWSH71-91
27th 65.3 71.0
+ 5.7
26
CardinalsSTL71-91
24th 86.6 71.0
- 15.6
27
White SoxCHW61-101
26th 82.5 61.0
- 21.5
28
RockiesCOL59-103
29th 67.9 59.0
- 8.9
29
RoyalsKC56-106
28th 68.2 56.0
- 12.2
30
AthleticsOAK50-112
30th 64.4 50.0
- 14.4

How We Calculate: Our MLB win projections are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire, Massey Ratings and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current win projections for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.