Updated Tuesday Oct. 2nd

2018 MLB Team Win Projections

MLB team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.

Our MLB data was last updated on the final day of the 2018 MLB regular season. Please check back this coming March for our coverage of the 2019 MLB season.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CHANGE
1
Red SoxBOS108-54
2nd 88.5 108.0
+ 19.5
2
AstrosHOU103-59
1st 95.8 103.0
+ 7.2
3
YankeesNYY100-62
4th 94.2 100.0
+ 5.8
4
AthleticsOAK97-65
5th 76.6 97.0
+ 20.4
5
BrewersMIL96-67
8th 84.1 96.0
+ 11.9
6
CubsCHC95-68
6th 91.0 95.0
+ 4
7
DodgersLAD92-71
3rd 94.5 92.0
- 2.5
8
RockiesCOL91-72
13th 81.0 91.0
+ 10
9
IndiansCLE91-71
7th 94.1 91.0
- 3.1
10
BravesATL90-72
9th 74.7 90.0
+ 15.3
11
RaysTB90-72
11th 77.2 90.0
+ 12.8
12
MarinersSEA89-73
14th 80.5 89.0
+ 8.5
13
CardinalsSTL88-74
10th 85.0 88.0
+ 3
14
PiratesPIT82-79
16th 76.3 82.0
+ 5.7
15
DiamondbacksARI82-80
15th 85.1 82.0
- 3.1
16
NationalsWSH82-80
12th 90.6 82.0
- 8.6
17
PhilliesPHI80-82
19th 78.1 80.0
+ 1.9
18
AngelsLAA80-82
17th 81.4 80.0
- 1.4
19
TwinsMIN78-84
20th 81.2 78.0
- 3.2
20
MetsNYM77-85
18th 79.3 77.0
- 2.3
21
GiantsSF73-89
21st 78.1 73.0
- 5.1
22
Blue JaysTOR73-89
22nd 80.0 73.0
- 7
23
RedsCIN67-95
24th 74.1 67.0
- 7.1
24
RangersTEX67-95
25th 78.2 67.0
- 11.2
25
PadresSD66-96
23rd 71.7 66.0
- 5.7
26
TigersDET64-98
27th 69.4 64.0
- 5.4
27
MarlinsMIA63-98
28th 69.9 63.0
- 6.9
28
White SoxCHW62-100
26th 72.0 62.0
- 10
29
RoyalsKC58-104
29th 72.6 58.0
- 14.6
30
OriolesBAL47-115
30th 74.8 47.0
- 27.8

How We Calculate: Our MLB win projections are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire, Massey Ratings and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current win projections for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.