Updated Tuesday Oct. 2nd
2018 MLB Team Win Projections
MLB team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.
| TEAM | GURU RANK |
PRESEASON PROJECTION |
CURRENT PROJECTION |
CHANGE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Red SoxBOS108-54
|
2nd | 88.5 | 108.0 |
+ 19.5
|
| 2 |
AstrosHOU103-59
|
1st | 95.8 | 103.0 |
+ 7.2
|
| 3 |
YankeesNYY100-62
|
4th | 94.2 | 100.0 |
+ 5.8
|
| 4 |
AthleticsOAK97-65
|
5th | 76.6 | 97.0 |
+ 20.4
|
| 5 |
BrewersMIL96-67
|
8th | 84.1 | 96.0 |
+ 11.9
|
| 6 |
CubsCHC95-68
|
6th | 91.0 | 95.0 |
+ 4
|
| 7 |
DodgersLAD92-71
|
3rd | 94.5 | 92.0 |
- 2.5
|
| 8 |
RockiesCOL91-72
|
13th | 81.0 | 91.0 |
+ 10
|
| 9 |
IndiansCLE91-71
|
7th | 94.1 | 91.0 |
- 3.1
|
| 10 |
BravesATL90-72
|
9th | 74.7 | 90.0 |
+ 15.3
|
| 11 |
RaysTB90-72
|
11th | 77.2 | 90.0 |
+ 12.8
|
| 12 |
MarinersSEA89-73
|
14th | 80.5 | 89.0 |
+ 8.5
|
| 13 |
CardinalsSTL88-74
|
10th | 85.0 | 88.0 |
+ 3
|
| 14 |
PiratesPIT82-79
|
16th | 76.3 | 82.0 |
+ 5.7
|
| 15 |
DiamondbacksARI82-80
|
15th | 85.1 | 82.0 |
- 3.1
|
| 16 |
NationalsWSH82-80
|
12th | 90.6 | 82.0 |
- 8.6
|
| 17 |
PhilliesPHI80-82
|
19th | 78.1 | 80.0 |
+ 1.9
|
| 18 |
AngelsLAA80-82
|
17th | 81.4 | 80.0 |
- 1.4
|
| 19 |
TwinsMIN78-84
|
20th | 81.2 | 78.0 |
- 3.2
|
| 20 |
MetsNYM77-85
|
18th | 79.3 | 77.0 |
- 2.3
|
| 21 |
GiantsSF73-89
|
21st | 78.1 | 73.0 |
- 5.1
|
| 22 |
Blue JaysTOR73-89
|
22nd | 80.0 | 73.0 |
- 7
|
| 23 |
RedsCIN67-95
|
24th | 74.1 | 67.0 |
- 7.1
|
| 24 |
RangersTEX67-95
|
25th | 78.2 | 67.0 |
- 11.2
|
| 25 |
PadresSD66-96
|
23rd | 71.7 | 66.0 |
- 5.7
|
| 26 |
TigersDET64-98
|
27th | 69.4 | 64.0 |
- 5.4
|
| 27 |
MarlinsMIA63-98
|
28th | 69.9 | 63.0 |
- 6.9
|
| 28 |
White SoxCHW62-100
|
26th | 72.0 | 62.0 |
- 10
|
| 29 |
RoyalsKC58-104
|
29th | 72.6 | 58.0 |
- 14.6
|
| 30 |
OriolesBAL47-115
|
30th | 74.8 | 47.0 |
- 27.8
|
How We Calculate: Our MLB win projections are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire, Massey Ratings and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current win projections for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.
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