Updated Wednesday Sep. 20

2023 MLB Team Win Projections

MLB team win projections tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CHANGE
1
BravesATL97-54
1st 91.6 104.4
+ 12.8
2
DodgersLAD93-57
2nd 94.2 101.1
+ 6.9
3
OriolesBAL95-56
9th 76.5 101.0
+ 24.5
4
RaysTB93-59
3rd 86.2 98.8
+ 12.6
5
BrewersMIL85-66
12th 83.7 90.9
+ 7.2
6
AstrosHOU84-68
4th 93.9 89.9
- 4
7
Blue JaysTOR84-67
6th 88.6 89.3
+ 0.7
8
RangersTEX83-68
8th 79.1 88.8
+ 9.7
9
MarinersSEA83-68
5th 86.3 88.8
+ 2.5
10
PhilliesPHI82-69
7th 88.2 88.0
- 0.2
11
TwinsMIN80-72
11th 84.3 86.4
+ 2.1
12
DiamondbacksARI80-72
19th 75.2 84.8
+ 9.6
13
CubsCHC79-72
14th 77.0 84.8
+ 7.8
14
MarlinsMIA79-73
16th 76.6 83.9
+ 7.3
15
RedsCIN79-74
22nd 69.2 83.2
+ 14
16
YankeesNYY76-75
13th 93.4 82.0
- 11.4
17
GiantsSF76-75
18th 80.8 80.4
- 0.4
18
Red SoxBOS75-77
17th 78.6 79.9
+ 1.3
19
PadresSD74-78
10th 91.4 79.9
- 11.5
20
GuardiansCLE72-80
20th 86.3 77.2
- 9.1
21
TigersDET70-81
24th 70.4 75.7
+ 5.3
22
MetsNYM70-81
15th 92.2 75.3
- 16.9
23
PiratesPIT70-81
25th 69.2 74.8
+ 5.6
24
AngelsLAA68-83
21st 81.7 73.1
- 8.6
25
CardinalsSTL67-84
23rd 86.6 72.1
- 14.5
26
NationalsWSH67-85
27th 65.3 70.4
+ 5.1
27
White SoxCHW58-94
26th 82.5 62.3
- 20.2
28
RockiesCOL56-95
29th 67.9 59.4
- 8.5
29
RoyalsKC50-102
28th 68.2 54.0
- 14.2
30
AthleticsOAK46-105
30th 64.4 50.2
- 14.2

How We Calculate: Our MLB win projections are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire, Massey Ratings and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current win projections for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.