Updated Sunday Mar. 3

2024 NBA Playoff Odds

NBA team playoff odds tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
PRESEASON
PROJ
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJ
CHANGE
1
ThunderOKC41-18
2nd 47.7% >99%
+ 51.3%
2
TimberwolvesMIN42-18
3rd 57.8% >99%
+ 41.2%
3
ClippersLAC38-20
5th 73.5% >99%
+ 25.5%
4
CavaliersCLE39-20
4th 88.1% >99%
+ 10.9%
5
NuggetsDEN42-19
7th 89.8% >99%
+ 9.2%
6
CelticsBOS47-12
1st 96.7% >99%
+ 2.3%
7
BucksMIL40-21
6th 97.0% >99%
+ 2%
8
KnicksNY35-25
11th 69.8% 97.0%
+ 27.2%
9
MagicORL34-26
15th 19.9% 95.0%
+ 75.1%
10
76ersPHI34-25
13th 88.0% 94.7%
+ 6.7%
11
HeatMIA34-26
16th 75.3% 93.6%
+ 18.3%
12
PelicansNO36-25
8th 59.5% 92.9%
+ 33.4%
13
PacersIND34-27
18th 28.4% 82.3%
+ 53.9%
14
MavericksDAL34-26
12th 60.6% 72.7%
+ 12.1%
15
KingsSAC34-25
14th 57.9% 72.4%
+ 14.5%
16
SunsPHX35-25
10th 85.7% 65.2%
- 20.5%
17
WarriorsGS32-27
9th 80.7% 62.1%
- 18.6%
18
LakersLAL33-29
17th 77.3% 33.5%
- 43.8%
19
BullsCHI28-32
19th 46.9% 20.6%
- 26.3%
20
HawksATL26-34
23rd 67.6% 8.2%
- 59.4%
21
NetsBKN24-36
21st 53.9% 7.4%
- 46.5%
22
RocketsHOU26-34
20th 5.9% 1.5%
- 4.4%
23
RaptorsTOR22-38
24th 43.8% 1.4%
- 42.4%
24
WizardsWSH9-51
29th 4.7% <1%
- 3.7%
25
PistonsDET9-50
28th 5.3% <1%
- 4.3%
26
SpursSA12-48
26th 6.9% <1%
- 5.9%
27
Trail BlazersPOR17-42
27th 10.3% <1%
- 9.3%
28
HornetsCHA15-45
30th 14.5% <1%
- 13.5%
29
JazzUTAH27-34
22nd 18.7% <1%
- 17.7%
30
GrizzliesMEM20-41
25th 68.1% <1%
- 67.1%

How We Calculate: Our NBA playoff probabilities are calculated by averaging predictions from numberFire, Team Rankings and ESPN. The table above shows the preseason and current playoff probabilities for each team. The change in these two probabilities is also shown.