Updated Monday Mar. 25

2018-19 NBA Playoff Odds

NBA team playoff odds tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
PRESEASON
PROJ
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJ
CHANGE
1
ClippersLAC44-30
13th 18.2% >99%
+ 80.8%
2
Trail BlazersPOR45-27
9th 41.7% >99%
+ 57.3%
3
SpursSA43-31
12th 57.9% >99%
+ 41.1%
4
NuggetsDEN49-23
6th 67.0% >99%
+ 32%
5
ThunderOKC43-30
10th 81.5% >99%
+ 17.5%
6
PacersIND45-29
11th 83.7% >99%
+ 15.3%
7
BucksMIL55-19
1st 87.5% >99%
+ 11.5%
8
JazzUTAH43-30
4th 87.9% >99%
+ 11.1%
9
76ersPHI47-26
8th 96.2% >99%
+ 2.8%
10
RocketsHOU47-27
5th 96.7% >99%
+ 2.3%
11
RaptorsTOR51-23
3rd 98.1% >99%
+ 0.9%
12
CelticsBOS43-31
7th 98.4% >99%
+ 0.6%
13
WarriorsGS50-23
2nd 99.0% >99%
0.0%
14
PistonsDET37-36
15th 59.2% 91.8%
+ 32.6%
15
NetsBKN38-36
20th 23.1% 89.2%
+ 66.1%
16
HeatMIA36-37
14th 65.5% 65.1%
- 0.4%
17
MagicORL35-38
17th 17.6% 40.4%
+ 22.8%
18
HornetsCHA34-39
21st 53.1% 14.3%
- 38.8%
19
KingsSAC36-37
19th 2.0% <1%
- 1%
20
SunsPHX17-57
28th 3.2% <1%
- 2.2%
21
HawksATL26-48
26th 3.7% <1%
- 2.7%
22
KnicksNY14-60
30th 8.2% <1%
- 7.2%
23
BullsCHI21-53
27th 9.1% <1%
- 8.1%
24
CavaliersCLE19-55
29th 12.4% <1%
- 11.4%
25
GrizzliesMEM29-44
25th 13.0% <1%
- 12%
26
MavericksDAL29-44
23rd 19.5% <1%
- 18.5%
27
TimberwolvesMIN33-40
18th 66.2% <1%
- 65.2%
28
PelicansNO31-44
16th 67.3% <1%
- 66.3%
29
LakersLAL32-41
22nd 78.5% <1%
- 77.5%
30
WizardsWSH30-44
24th 84.5% <1%
- 83.5%

How We Calculate: Our NBA playoff probabilities are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current playoff probabilities for each team. The change in these two probabilities is also shown.