Updated Friday Apr. 12

2018-19 NBA Playoff Odds

NBA team playoff odds tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
PRESEASON
PROJ
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJ
CHANGE
1
MagicORL42-40
14th 17.6% >99%
+ 81.4%
2
ClippersLAC48-34
13th 18.2% >99%
+ 80.8%
3
NetsBKN42-40
17th 23.1% >99%
+ 75.9%
4
Trail BlazersPOR53-29
9th 41.7% >99%
+ 57.3%
5
SpursSA48-34
12th 57.9% >99%
+ 41.1%
6
PistonsDET41-41
16th 59.2% >99%
+ 39.8%
7
NuggetsDEN54-28
7th 67.0% >99%
+ 32%
8
ThunderOKC49-33
8th 81.5% >99%
+ 17.5%
9
PacersIND48-34
11th 83.7% >99%
+ 15.3%
10
BucksMIL60-22
2nd 87.5% >99%
+ 11.5%
11
JazzUTAH50-32
5th 87.9% >99%
+ 11.1%
12
76ersPHI51-31
10th 96.2% >99%
+ 2.8%
13
RocketsHOU53-29
4th 96.7% >99%
+ 2.3%
14
RaptorsTOR58-24
3rd 98.1% >99%
+ 0.9%
15
CelticsBOS49-33
6th 98.4% >99%
+ 0.6%
16
WarriorsGS57-25
1st 99.0% >99%
0.0%
17
KingsSAC39-43
19th 2.0% <1%
- 1%
18
SunsPHX19-63
29th 3.2% <1%
- 2.2%
19
HawksATL29-53
26th 3.7% <1%
- 2.7%
20
KnicksNY17-65
28th 8.2% <1%
- 7.2%
21
BullsCHI22-60
27th 9.1% <1%
- 8.1%
22
CavaliersCLE19-63
30th 12.4% <1%
- 11.4%
23
GrizzliesMEM33-49
25th 13.0% <1%
- 12%
24
MavericksDAL33-49
23rd 19.5% <1%
- 18.5%
25
HornetsCHA39-43
20th 53.1% <1%
- 52.1%
26
HeatMIA39-43
15th 65.5% <1%
- 64.5%
27
TimberwolvesMIN36-46
18th 66.2% <1%
- 65.2%
28
PelicansNO33-49
21st 67.3% <1%
- 66.3%
29
LakersLAL37-45
22nd 78.5% <1%
- 77.5%
30
WizardsWSH32-50
24th 84.5% <1%
- 83.5%

How We Calculate: Our NBA playoff probabilities are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current playoff probabilities for each team. The change in these two probabilities is also shown.