Updated Monday May. 17

2021 NBA Playoff Odds

NBA team playoff odds tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
PRESEASON
PROJ
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJ
CHANGE
1
KnicksNY41-31
15th 7.8% 99.9%
+ 92.2%
2
WizardsWSH34-38
21st 25.6% 99.9%
+ 74.4%
3
GrizzliesMEM38-34
16th 29.9% 99.9%
+ 70.1%
4
HawksATL41-31
11th 59.9% 99.9%
+ 40.1%
5
Trail BlazersPOR42-30
10th 60.3% 99.9%
+ 39.7%
6
SunsPHX51-21
6th 61.0% 99.9%
+ 39%
7
JazzUTAH52-20
1st 72.6% 99.9%
+ 27.4%
8
MavericksDAL42-30
9th 76.8% 99.9%
+ 23.2%
9
NuggetsDEN47-25
8th 80.9% 99.9%
+ 19.1%
10
HeatMIA40-32
12th 85.7% 99.9%
+ 14.3%
11
ClippersLAC47-25
3rd 89.0% 99.9%
+ 11%
12
76ersPHI49-23
2nd 90.4% 99.9%
+ 9.6%
13
CelticsBOS36-36
14th 90.5% 99.9%
+ 9.5%
14
NetsBKN48-24
5th 90.8% 99.9%
+ 9.2%
15
LakersLAL42-30
7th 95.2% 99.9%
+ 4.8%
16
BucksMIL46-26
4th 98.0% 99.9%
+ 2%
17
CavaliersCLE22-50
28th 5.1% 0.0%
- 5.1%
18
ThunderOKC22-50
29th 11.1% 0.0%
- 11.1%
19
HornetsCHA33-39
22nd 12.3% 0.0%
- 12.3%
20
PistonsDET20-52
26th 14.2% 0.0%
- 14.2%
21
BullsCHI31-41
23rd 16.4% 0.0%
- 16.4%
22
TimberwolvesMIN23-49
25th 22.3% 0.0%
- 22.3%
23
KingsSAC31-41
24th 23.9% 0.0%
- 23.9%
24
SpursSA33-39
20th 26.0% 0.0%
- 26%
25
PelicansNO47-25
19th 47.4% 0.0%
- 47.4%
26
MagicORL21-51
30th 47.7% 0.0%
- 47.7%
27
WarriorsGS39-33
13th 48.2% 0.0%
- 48.2%
28
RocketsHOU17-55
27th 55.2% 0.0%
- 55.2%
29
PacersIND34-38
18th 71.4% 0.0%
- 71.4%
30
RaptorsTOR27-45
17th 88.9% 0.0%
- 88.9%

How We Calculate: Our NBA playoff probabilities are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current playoff probabilities for each team. The change in these two probabilities is also shown.