Updated Friday May. 14

2021 NBA Playoff Odds

NBA team playoff odds tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
PRESEASON
PROJ
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJ
CHANGE
1
KnicksNY39-31
16th 7.8% >99%
+ 91.2%
2
HawksATL40-31
12th 59.9% >99%
+ 39.1%
3
SunsPHX49-21
6th 61.0% >99%
+ 38%
4
JazzUTAH50-20
1st 72.6% >99%
+ 26.4%
5
MavericksDAL41-29
9th 76.8% >99%
+ 22.2%
6
NuggetsDEN46-24
8th 80.9% >99%
+ 18.1%
7
HeatMIA39-31
11th 85.7% >99%
+ 13.3%
8
ClippersLAC47-23
2nd 89.0% >99%
+ 10%
9
76ersPHI47-23
3rd 90.4% >99%
+ 8.6%
10
NetsBKN46-24
4th 90.8% >99%
+ 8.2%
11
BucksMIL45-25
5th 98.0% >99%
+ 1%
12
Trail BlazersPOR41-30
10th 60.3% 97.3%
+ 37%
13
LakersLAL40-30
7th 95.2% 93.4%
- 1.8%
14
CelticsBOS35-35
14th 90.5% 92.7%
+ 2.2%
15
WarriorsGS37-33
13th 48.2% 63.6%
+ 15.4%
16
GrizzliesMEM37-33
15th 29.9% 61.1%
+ 31.2%
17
PacersIND33-37
19th 71.4% 53.6%
- 17.8%
18
HornetsCHA33-37
24th 12.3% 52.8%
+ 40.5%
19
SpursSA33-37
20th 26.0% 32.7%
+ 6.7%
20
WizardsWSH32-38
21st 25.6% 30.7%
+ 5.1%
21
PelicansNO46-24
18th 47.4% 0.9%
- 46.5%
22
BullsCHI30-40
22nd 16.4% 0.4%
- 16%
23
CavaliersCLE22-48
28th 5.1% 0.0%
- 5.1%
24
ThunderOKC21-49
30th 11.1% 0.0%
- 11.1%
25
PistonsDET20-50
26th 14.2% 0.0%
- 14.2%
26
TimberwolvesMIN22-48
25th 22.3% 0.0%
- 22.3%
27
KingsSAC31-39
23rd 23.9% 0.0%
- 23.9%
28
MagicORL21-49
29th 47.7% 0.0%
- 47.7%
29
RocketsHOU16-54
27th 55.2% 0.0%
- 55.2%
30
RaptorsTOR27-43
17th 88.9% 0.0%
- 88.9%

How We Calculate: Our NBA playoff probabilities are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current playoff probabilities for each team. The change in these two probabilities is also shown.