Updated Thursday Mar. 28

2024 NBA Playoff Odds

NBA team playoff odds tracked from the preseason to current day.

TEAM GURU
RANK
PRESEASON
PROJECTION
PRESEASON
PROJ
CURRENT
PROJECTION
CURRENT
PROJ
CHANGE
1
ThunderOKC50-22
2nd 47.7% >99%
+ 51.3%
2
TimberwolvesMIN50-22
3rd 57.8% >99%
+ 41.2%
3
KnicksNY44-28
7th 69.8% >99%
+ 29.2%
4
ClippersLAC45-27
8th 73.5% >99%
+ 25.5%
5
CavaliersCLE44-29
9th 88.1% >99%
+ 10.9%
6
NuggetsDEN51-22
4th 89.8% >99%
+ 9.2%
7
CelticsBOS57-15
1st 96.7% >99%
+ 2.3%
8
BucksMIL46-26
6th 97.0% >99%
+ 2%
9
MagicORL42-30
15th 19.9% 98.3%
+ 78.4%
10
PelicansNO44-28
5th 59.5% 98.3%
+ 38.8%
11
PacersIND41-33
13th 28.4% 93.4%
+ 65%
12
MavericksDAL43-29
10th 60.6% 93.1%
+ 32.5%
13
HeatMIA39-33
19th 75.3% 88.7%
+ 13.4%
14
76ersPHI39-34
18th 88.0% 87.6%
- 0.4%
15
SunsPHX43-30
11th 85.7% 70.0%
- 15.7%
16
KingsSAC42-30
17th 57.9% 69.6%
+ 11.7%
17
LakersLAL41-32
14th 77.3% 44.6%
- 32.7%
18
WarriorsGS38-34
12th 80.7% 21.6%
- 59.1%
19
BullsCHI35-38
21st 46.9% 17.4%
- 29.5%
20
HawksATL33-39
20th 67.6% 14.6%
- 53%
21
RocketsHOU37-35
16th 5.9% 3.5%
- 2.4%
22
WizardsWSH14-59
29th 4.7% <1%
- 3.7%
23
PistonsDET12-61
28th 5.3% <1%
- 4.3%
24
SpursSA17-56
26th 6.9% <1%
- 5.9%
25
Trail BlazersPOR19-54
27th 10.3% <1%
- 9.3%
26
HornetsCHA18-54
30th 14.5% <1%
- 13.5%
27
JazzUTAH29-44
23rd 18.7% <1%
- 17.7%
28
RaptorsTOR23-50
25th 43.8% <1%
- 42.8%
29
NetsBKN28-45
22nd 53.9% <1%
- 52.9%
30
GrizzliesMEM24-49
24th 68.1% <1%
- 67.1%

How We Calculate: Our NBA playoff probabilities are calculated by averaging predictions from numberFire, Team Rankings and ESPN. The table above shows the preseason and current playoff probabilities for each team. The change in these two probabilities is also shown.