Updated Wednesday Sep. 20
2023 MLB World Series Odds
MLB team World Series odds tracked from the preseason to current day.
| TEAM | GURU RANK |
PRESEASON CHANCE |
CURRENT CHANCE |
CHANGE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
BravesATL97-54
|
1st | 9.6% | 23.6% | + 14% |
| 2 |
DodgersLAD93-57
|
2nd | 12.9% | 21.9% | + 9% |
| 3 |
RaysTB93-59
|
3rd | 3.6% | 14.8% | + 11.2% |
| 4 |
AstrosHOU84-68
|
4th | 14.4% | 7.5% | - 6.9% |
| 5 |
MarinersSEA83-68
|
5th | 3.2% | 5.7% | + 2.5% |
| 6 |
OriolesBAL95-56
|
9th | <1% | 5.5% | + 4.5% |
| 7 |
PhilliesPHI82-69
|
7th | 4.4% | 4.6% | + 0.2% |
| 8 |
TwinsMIN80-72
|
11th | 1.7% | 4.4% | + 2.7% |
| 9 |
RangersTEX83-68
|
8th | <1% | 3.7% | + 2.7% |
| 10 |
Blue JaysTOR84-67
|
6th | 5.8% | 3.1% | - 2.7% |
| 11 |
BrewersMIL85-66
|
12th | 2.2% | 2.9% | + 0.7% |
| 12 |
CubsCHC79-72
|
14th | <1% | 1.4% | + 0.4% |
| 13 |
TigersDET70-81
|
24th | <1% | <1% | 0.0% |
| 14 |
PiratesPIT70-81
|
25th | <1% | <1% | 0.0% |
| 15 |
NationalsWSH67-85
|
27th | <1% | <1% | 0.0% |
| 16 |
RoyalsKC50-102
|
28th | <1% | <1% | 0.0% |
| 17 |
RockiesCOL56-95
|
29th | <1% | <1% | 0.0% |
| 18 |
RedsCIN79-74
|
22nd | <1% | <1% | 0.0% |
| 19 |
DiamondbacksARI80-72
|
19th | <1% | <1% | 0.0% |
| 20 |
AthleticsOAK46-105
|
30th | <1% | <1% | 0.0% |
| 21 |
MarlinsMIA79-73
|
16th | <1% | <1% | 0.0% |
| 22 |
Red SoxBOS75-77
|
17th | <1% | <1% | 0.0% |
| 23 |
GiantsSF76-75
|
18th | <1% | <1% | 0.0% |
| 24 |
White SoxCHW58-94
|
26th | 1.1% | <1% | - 0.1% |
| 25 |
AngelsLAA68-83
|
21st | 1.5% | <1% | - 0.5% |
| 26 |
GuardiansCLE72-80
|
20th | 3.4% | <1% | - 2.4% |
| 27 |
CardinalsSTL67-84
|
23rd | 3.7% | <1% | - 2.7% |
| 28 |
PadresSD74-78
|
10th | 6.9% | <1% | - 5.9% |
| 29 |
MetsNYM70-81
|
15th | 7.9% | <1% | - 6.9% |
| 30 |
YankeesNYY76-75
|
13th | 13.7% | <1% | - 12.7% |
How We Calculate: Our World Series champion probabilities are calculated by averaging predictions from FiveThirtyEight, numberFire and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current World Series champion probabilities for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.
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