2026 MLB Playoff Odds
Every team’s chances to make the playoffs and win the World Series.
Updated Oct 20, 2026, 4:33 AM ET
At a glance
Make playoffs
Chance to reach the postseason, at the start of the season and now. Faded rows missed the playoffs or have been eliminated.
PreseasonNow
| Rank | Team | Pre-season to current | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brewers103-59 | 94% | Preseason 94% → now >99% | >99% | +6pp | 1616 | 20 |
2 |  Dodgers100-62, Eliminated from the playoffs | >99% | Preseason >99% → now >99% | >99% | 0pp | 1571 | 22 |
| 3 |  Rays98-64 | 7% | Preseason 7% → now >99% | >99% | +93pp | 1569 | 19 |
4 |  Padres91-71, Eliminated from the playoffs | 75% | Preseason 75% → now >99% | >99% | +25pp | 1562 | 21 |
5 |  Yankees93-68, Eliminated from the playoffs | 82% | Preseason 82% → now >99% | >99% | +18pp | 1559 | 16 |
6 |  Cubs89-73, Eliminated from the playoffs | 80% | Preseason 80% → now >99% | >99% | +20pp | 1540 | 13 |
7 |  Red Sox87-75, Eliminated from the playoffs | 86% | Preseason 86% → now >99% | >99% | +14pp | 1529 | 14 |
8 |  Braves94-68, Eliminated from the playoffs | 29% | Preseason 29% → now >99% | >99% | +71pp | 1528 | 11 |
9 |  Phillies88-74, Eliminated from the playoffs | 96% | Preseason 96% → now >99% | >99% | +4pp | 1525 | 12 |
10 |  Guardians85-77, Eliminated from the playoffs | 68% | Preseason 68% → now >99% | >99% | +32pp | 1518 | 28 |
11 |  White Sox84-78, Eliminated from the playoffs | <1% | Preseason <1% → now >99% | >99% | +100pp | 1513 | 24 |
12 |  Astros81-81, Eliminated from the playoffs | 31% | Preseason 31% → now >99% | >99% | +69pp | 1491 | 30 |
13 |  Diamondbacks86-76, Missed the playoffs | 28% | Preseason 28% → now <1% | <1% | −28pp | 1516 | 15 |
14 |  Pirates82-80, Missed the playoffs | 9% | Preseason 9% → now <1% | <1% | −9pp | 1513 | 9 |
15 |  Orioles79-82, Missed the playoffs | 5% | Preseason 5% → now <1% | <1% | −5pp | 1509 | 10 |
16 |  Mets74-88, Missed the playoffs | 24% | Preseason 24% → now <1% | <1% | −24pp | 1507 | 8 |
17 |  Tigers76-86, Missed the playoffs | 14% | Preseason 14% → now <1% | <1% | −14pp | 1505 | 23 |
18 |  Marlins80-82, Missed the playoffs | 11% | Preseason 11% → now <1% | <1% | −11pp | 1500 | 7 |
19 |  Blue Jays79-83, Missed the playoffs | 98% | Preseason 98% → now <1% | <1% | −98pp | 1499 | tied for 5 |
20 |  Nationals77-85, Missed the playoffs | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1480 | tied for 5 |
21 |  Rangers80-82, Missed the playoffs | 51% | Preseason 51% → now <1% | <1% | −51pp | 1478 | 29 |
22 |  Cardinals77-85, Missed the playoffs | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | −1pp | 1474 | 3 |
23 |  Twins77-85, Missed the playoffs | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1466 | 17 |
24 |  Mariners76-86, Missed the playoffs | 85% | Preseason 85% → now <1% | <1% | −85pp | 1462 | 26 |
25 |  Reds75-87, Missed the playoffs | 29% | Preseason 29% → now <1% | <1% | −29pp | 1454 | 1 |
26 |  Royals69-93, Missed the playoffs | 55% | Preseason 55% → now <1% | <1% | −55pp | 1453 | 18 |
27 |  Giants65-97, Missed the playoffs | 24% | Preseason 24% → now <1% | <1% | −24pp | 1451 | 4 |
28 |  Angels62-100, Missed the playoffs | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1426 | 25 |
29 |  Athletics64-98, Missed the playoffs | 19% | Preseason 19% → now <1% | <1% | −19pp | 1396 | 27 |
30 |  Rockies58-104, Missed the playoffs | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1388 | 2 |
- Now
- Current
- Chg
- Change, in percentage points (pp)
- SoS Rk
- SoS Played Rank
Win World Series
Chance to win the title, at the start of the season and now. Faded rows missed the playoffs or have been eliminated.
PreseasonNow
| Rank | Team | Pre-season to current | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brewers103-59 | 10% | Preseason 10% → now 65% | 65% | +55pp | 1616 | 20 |
| 2 | Rays98-64 | <1% | Preseason <1% → now 35% | 35% | +35pp | 1569 | 19 |
3 | Dodgers100-62, Eliminated from the playoffs | 27% | Preseason 27% → now <1% | <1% | −27pp | 1571 | 22 |
4 | Padres91-71, Eliminated from the playoffs | 3% | Preseason 3% → now <1% | <1% | −3pp | 1562 | 21 |
5 | Yankees93-68, Eliminated from the playoffs | 5% | Preseason 5% → now <1% | <1% | −5pp | 1559 | 16 |
6 | Cubs89-73, Eliminated from the playoffs | 4% | Preseason 4% → now <1% | <1% | −4pp | 1540 | 13 |
7 | Red Sox87-75, Eliminated from the playoffs | 7% | Preseason 7% → now <1% | <1% | −7pp | 1529 | 14 |
8 | Braves94-68, Eliminated from the playoffs | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1528 | 11 |
9 | Phillies88-74, Eliminated from the playoffs | 12% | Preseason 12% → now <1% | <1% | −12pp | 1525 | 12 |
10 | Guardians85-77, Eliminated from the playoffs | 2% | Preseason 2% → now <1% | <1% | −2pp | 1518 | 28 |
11 | Diamondbacks86-76, Missed the playoffs | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1516 | 15 |
12 | Pirates82-80, Missed the playoffs | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1513 | 9 |
13 | White Sox84-78, Eliminated from the playoffs | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1513 | 24 |
14 | Orioles79-82, Missed the playoffs | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1509 | 10 |
15 | Mets74-88, Missed the playoffs | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1507 | 8 |
16 | Tigers76-86, Missed the playoffs | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1505 | 23 |
17 | Marlins80-82, Missed the playoffs | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1500 | 7 |
18 | Blue Jays79-83, Missed the playoffs | 19% | Preseason 19% → now <1% | <1% | −19pp | 1499 | tied for 5 |
19 | Astros81-81, Eliminated from the playoffs | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1491 | 30 |
20 | Nationals77-85, Missed the playoffs | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1480 | tied for 5 |
21 | Rangers80-82, Missed the playoffs | 1% | Preseason 1% → now <1% | <1% | −1pp | 1478 | 29 |
22 | Cardinals77-85, Missed the playoffs | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1474 | 3 |
23 | Twins77-85, Missed the playoffs | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1466 | 17 |
24 | Mariners76-86, Missed the playoffs | 6% | Preseason 6% → now <1% | <1% | −6pp | 1462 | 26 |
25 | Reds75-87, Missed the playoffs | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1454 | 1 |
26 | Royals69-93, Missed the playoffs | 1% | Preseason 1% → now <1% | <1% | −1pp | 1453 | 18 |
27 | Giants65-97, Missed the playoffs | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1451 | 4 |
28 | Angels62-100, Missed the playoffs | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1426 | 25 |
29 | Athletics64-98, Missed the playoffs | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1396 | 27 |
30 | Rockies58-104, Missed the playoffs | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1388 | 2 |
- Now
- Current
- Chg
- Change, in percentage points (pp)
- SoS Rk
- SoS Played Rank