2026 NFL Playoff Odds

Every team’s chances to make the playoffs and win the Super Bowl.

Updated Nov 10, 2026, 3:30 AM ET

At a glance

Playoff odds since the preseason

Biggest gain: +48percentage pts; Bengals; 41% → 89%
Biggest drop: −60percentage pts; Eagles; 61% → 1%

Super Bowl odds since the preseason

Biggest gain: +12percentage pts; Bills; 7% → 19%
Biggest drop: −9percentage pts; Seahawks; 15% → 6%

Make playoffs

Chance to reach the postseason, at the start of the season and now.

PreseasonNow

Rank	Team		Pre-season to current
1	Bills7-1	71%	Preseason 71% → now >99%	>99%	+28pp	1697	25
2	Broncos7-2	74%	Preseason 74% → now 97%	97%	+23pp	1647	32
3	49ers7-1	56%	Preseason 56% → now 96%	96%	+40pp	1634	tied for 18
4	Jaguars6-2	64%	Preseason 64% → now 95%	95%	+31pp	1638	31
5	Bears7-2	46%	Preseason 46% → now 91%	91%	+45pp	1625	1
6	Bengals6-2	41%	Preseason 41% → now 89%	89%	+48pp	1589	30
7	Vikings6-2	57%	Preseason 57% → now 85%	85%	+28pp	1589	13
8	Lions6-2	62%	Preseason 62% → now 84%	84%	+22pp	1593	6
9	Steelers6-2	47%	Preseason 47% → now 82%	82%	+35pp	1572	17
10	Seahawks5-4	87%	Preseason 87% → now 80%	80%	−7pp	1639	15
11	Chiefs6-2	39%	Preseason 39% → now 79%	79%	+40pp	1562	12
12	Packers6-3	46%	Preseason 46% → now 73%	73%	+27pp	1577	3
13	Rams5-4	71%	Preseason 71% → now 64%	64%	−7pp	1600	2
14	Giants5-2-1	21%	Preseason 21% → now 59%	59%	+38pp	1478	tied for 8
15	Patriots5-4	67%	Preseason 67% → now 58%	58%	−9pp	1561	11
16	Texans3-5	75%	Preseason 75% → now 38%	38%	−37pp	1541	28
17	Browns5-4	26%	Preseason 26% → now 29%	29%	+3pp	1435	24
18	Ravens4-5	60%	Preseason 60% → now 23%	23%	−37pp	1475	23
tied for 19	Cowboys4-5	28%	Preseason 28% → now 17%	17%	−11pp	1460	7
tied for 19	Buccaneers3-6	38%	Preseason 38% → now 17%	17%	−21pp	1488	26
21	Panthers3-5	21%	Preseason 21% → now 9%	9%	−12pp	1420	tied for 8
tied for 22	Raiders4-5	8%	Preseason 8% → now 8%	8%	0pp	1399	16
tied for 22	Saints3-5	29%	Preseason 29% → now 8%	8%	−21pp	1408	tied for 18
24	Falcons3-6	36%	Preseason 36% → now 7%	7%	−29pp	1435	20
25	Commanders2-5-1	30%	Preseason 30% → now 6%	6%	−24pp	1420	tied for 21
26	Cardinals3-6	12%	Preseason 12% → now 4%	4%	−8pp	1384	27
27	Colts2-7	33%	Preseason 33% → now 2%	2%	−31pp	1386	29
28	Eagles2-7	61%	Preseason 61% → now 1%	1%	−60pp	1395	14
29	Jets2-7	10%	Preseason 10% → now <1%	<1%	−10pp	1325	5
30	Dolphins1-7	28%	Preseason 28% → now <1%	<1%	−28pp	1360	4
31	Titans1-7	11%	Preseason 11% → now <1%	<1%	−11pp	1297	10
32	Chargers0-8	47%	Preseason 47% → now <1%	<1%	−47pp	1371	tied for 21

Now: Current
Chg: Change, in percentage points (pp)
Rem SoS: Remaining SoS Rank (1 = hardest)

Race for the #1 seed

Each team’s chance of finishing as its conference’s #1 seed, over the season.

AFC

NFC

Win Super Bowl

Chance to win the title, at the start of the season and now.

PreseasonNow

Rank	Team		Pre-season to current
1	Bills7-1	7%	Preseason 7% → now 19%	19%	+12pp	1697	25
2	49ers7-1	4%	Preseason 4% → now 11%	11%	+7pp	1634	tied for 18
3	Broncos7-2	8%	Preseason 8% → now 10%	10%	+2pp	1647	32
tied for 4	Jaguars6-2	5%	Preseason 5% → now 9%	9%	+4pp	1638	31
tied for 4	Bears7-2	3%	Preseason 3% → now 9%	9%	+6pp	1625	1
tied for 6	Seahawks5-4	15%	Preseason 15% → now 6%	6%	−9pp	1639	15
tied for 6	Vikings6-2	4%	Preseason 4% → now 6%	6%	+2pp	1589	13
tied for 6	Lions6-2	4%	Preseason 4% → now 6%	6%	+2pp	1593	6
9	Bengals6-2	1%	Preseason 1% → now 5%	5%	+4pp	1589	30
tied for 10	Rams5-4	8%	Preseason 8% → now 4%	4%	−4pp	1600	2
tied for 10	Packers6-3	3%	Preseason 3% → now 4%	4%	+1pp	1577	3
tied for 12	Steelers6-2	2%	Preseason 2% → now 3%	3%	+1pp	1572	17
tied for 12	Chiefs6-2	2%	Preseason 2% → now 3%	3%	+1pp	1562	12
14	Patriots5-4	6%	Preseason 6% → now 2%	2%	−4pp	1561	11
tied for 15	Texans3-5	8%	Preseason 8% → now 1%	1%	−7pp	1541	28
tied for 15	Giants5-2-1	<1%	Preseason <1% → now 1%	1%	0pp	1478	tied for 8
17	Ravens4-5	4%	Preseason 4% → now <1%	<1%	−4pp	1475	23
18	Buccaneers3-6	1%	Preseason 1% → now <1%	<1%	−1pp	1488	26
19	Cowboys4-5	<1%	Preseason <1% → now <1%	<1%	−1pp	1460	7
20	Browns5-4	<1%	Preseason <1% → now <1%	<1%	−1pp	1435	24
21	Panthers3-5	<1%	Preseason <1% → now <1%	<1%	−1pp	1420	tied for 8
22	Falcons3-6	1%	Preseason 1% → now <1%	<1%	−1pp	1435	20
23	Commanders2-5-1	1%	Preseason 1% → now <1%	<1%	−1pp	1420	tied for 21
24	Saints3-5	<1%	Preseason <1% → now <1%	<1%	−1pp	1408	tied for 18
25	Raiders4-5	<1%	Preseason <1% → now <1%	<1%	0pp	1399	16
26	Eagles2-7	4%	Preseason 4% → now <1%	<1%	−4pp	1395	14
27	Cardinals3-6	<1%	Preseason <1% → now <1%	<1%	0pp	1384	27
28	Colts2-7	1%	Preseason 1% → now <1%	<1%	−1pp	1386	29
29	Chargers0-8	2%	Preseason 2% → now <1%	<1%	−2pp	1371	tied for 21
30	Dolphins1-7	<1%	Preseason <1% → now <1%	<1%	−1pp	1360	4
31	Jets2-7	<1%	Preseason <1% → now <1%	<1%	0pp	1325	5
32	Titans1-7	<1%	Preseason <1% → now <1%	<1%	0pp	1297	10

Now: Current
Chg: Change, in percentage points (pp)
Rem SoS: Remaining SoS Rank (1 = hardest)