2026 NFL Playoff Odds

Every team’s chances to make the playoffs and win the Super Bowl.

Updated Oct 20, 2026, 4:30 AM ET

At a glance

Playoff odds since the preseason

Biggest gain: +42percentage pts; 49ers; 56% → 98%
Biggest drop: −46percentage pts; Chargers; 47% → 1%

Super Bowl odds since the preseason

Biggest gain: +11percentage pts; 49ers; 4% → 15%
Biggest drop: −5percentage pts; Seahawks; 15% → 10%

Make playoffs

Chance to reach the postseason, at the start of the season and now.

PreseasonNow

Rank	Team		Pre-season to current
1	49ers6-0	56%	Preseason 56% → now 98%	98%	+42pp	1660	tied for 20
2	Vikings5-0	57%	Preseason 57% → now 93%	93%	+36pp	1629	7
3	Bills5-1	71%	Preseason 71% → now 91%	91%	+20pp	1653	18
4	Seahawks3-3	87%	Preseason 87% → now 84%	84%	−3pp	1656	tied for 12
5	Broncos4-2	74%	Preseason 74% → now 83%	83%	+9pp	1614	31
6	Jaguars4-2	64%	Preseason 64% → now 81%	81%	+17pp	1599	32
7	Chiefs5-0	39%	Preseason 39% → now 79%	79%	+40pp	1580	4
8	Patriots4-2	67%	Preseason 67% → now 77%	77%	+10pp	1612	15
tied for 9	Lions3-2	62%	Preseason 62% → now 65%	65%	+3pp	1552	16
tied for 9	Bears4-2	46%	Preseason 46% → now 65%	65%	+19pp	1555	1
11	Ravens4-2	60%	Preseason 60% → now 62%	62%	+2pp	1556	tied for 10
tied for 12	Packers4-2	46%	Preseason 46% → now 58%	58%	+12pp	1534	2
tied for 12	Steelers4-2	47%	Preseason 47% → now 58%	58%	+11pp	1540	tied for 10
14	Bengals3-2	41%	Preseason 41% → now 54%	54%	+13pp	1520	27
15	Rams2-4	71%	Preseason 71% → now 46%	46%	−25pp	1556	19
16	Panthers3-2	21%	Preseason 21% → now 45%	45%	+24pp	1490	8
17	Texans2-4	75%	Preseason 75% → now 43%	43%	−32pp	1547	29
18	Browns4-2	26%	Preseason 26% → now 39%	39%	+13pp	1449	30
19	Eagles2-4	61%	Preseason 61% → now 33%	33%	−28pp	1485	26
20	Giants3-2-1	21%	Preseason 21% → now 29%	29%	+8pp	1425	tied for 5
21	Falcons2-4	36%	Preseason 36% → now 19%	19%	−17pp	1448	17
22	Saints2-4	29%	Preseason 29% → now 17%	17%	−12pp	1416	28
23	Cowboys2-4	28%	Preseason 28% → now 16%	16%	−12pp	1425	22
tied for 24	Raiders3-3	8%	Preseason 8% → now 12%	12%	+4pp	1410	9
tied for 24	Commanders1-4-1	30%	Preseason 30% → now 12%	12%	−18pp	1406	24
tied for 26	Colts2-4	33%	Preseason 33% → now 11%	11%	−22pp	1422	23
tied for 26	Buccaneers1-5	38%	Preseason 38% → now 11%	11%	−27pp	1422	25
28	Cardinals2-4	12%	Preseason 12% → now 9%	9%	−3pp	1384	14
29	Jets2-4	10%	Preseason 10% → now 5%	5%	−5pp	1370	tied for 12
tied for 30	Chargers0-6	47%	Preseason 47% → now 1%	1%	−46pp	1406	tied for 5
tied for 30	Dolphins0-5	28%	Preseason 28% → now 1%	1%	−27pp	1366	3
tied for 30	Titans1-5	11%	Preseason 11% → now 1%	1%	−10pp	1313	tied for 20

Now: Current
Chg: Change, in percentage points (pp)
Rem SoS: Remaining SoS Rank (1 = hardest)

Race for the #1 seed

Each team’s chance of finishing as its conference’s #1 seed, over the season.

AFC

NFC

Win Super Bowl

Chance to win the title, at the start of the season and now.

PreseasonNow

Rank	Team		Pre-season to current
1	49ers6-0	4%	Preseason 4% → now 15%	15%	+11pp	1660	tied for 20
2	Bills5-1	7%	Preseason 7% → now 13%	13%	+6pp	1653	18
3	Vikings5-0	4%	Preseason 4% → now 11%	11%	+7pp	1629	7
4	Seahawks3-3	15%	Preseason 15% → now 10%	10%	−5pp	1656	tied for 12
tied for 5	Broncos4-2	8%	Preseason 8% → now 7%	7%	−1pp	1614	31
tied for 5	Patriots4-2	6%	Preseason 6% → now 7%	7%	+1pp	1612	15
tied for 7	Chiefs5-0	2%	Preseason 2% → now 6%	6%	+4pp	1580	4
tied for 7	Jaguars4-2	5%	Preseason 5% → now 6%	6%	+1pp	1599	32
tied for 9	Lions3-2	4%	Preseason 4% → now 3%	3%	−1pp	1552	16
tied for 9	Ravens4-2	4%	Preseason 4% → now 3%	3%	−1pp	1556	tied for 10
tied for 9	Bears4-2	3%	Preseason 3% → now 3%	3%	0pp	1555	1
tied for 9	Steelers4-2	2%	Preseason 2% → now 3%	3%	+1pp	1540	tied for 10
tied for 13	Packers4-2	3%	Preseason 3% → now 2%	2%	−1pp	1534	2
tied for 13	Rams2-4	8%	Preseason 8% → now 2%	2%	−6pp	1556	19
tied for 13	Bengals3-2	1%	Preseason 1% → now 2%	2%	+1pp	1520	27
tied for 13	Texans2-4	8%	Preseason 8% → now 2%	2%	−6pp	1547	29
17	Panthers3-2	<1%	Preseason <1% → now 1%	1%	0pp	1490	8
18	Eagles2-4	4%	Preseason 4% → now <1%	<1%	−3pp	1485	26
19	Browns4-2	<1%	Preseason <1% → now <1%	<1%	0pp	1449	30
20	Giants3-2-1	<1%	Preseason <1% → now <1%	<1%	−1pp	1425	tied for 5
21	Falcons2-4	1%	Preseason 1% → now <1%	<1%	−1pp	1448	17
22	Cowboys2-4	<1%	Preseason <1% → now <1%	<1%	−1pp	1425	22
23	Saints2-4	<1%	Preseason <1% → now <1%	<1%	−1pp	1416	28
24	Raiders3-3	<1%	Preseason <1% → now <1%	<1%	0pp	1410	9
25	Buccaneers1-5	1%	Preseason 1% → now <1%	<1%	−1pp	1422	25
26	Commanders1-4-1	1%	Preseason 1% → now <1%	<1%	−1pp	1406	24
27	Colts2-4	1%	Preseason 1% → now <1%	<1%	−1pp	1422	23
28	Cardinals2-4	<1%	Preseason <1% → now <1%	<1%	0pp	1384	14
29	Jets2-4	<1%	Preseason <1% → now <1%	<1%	0pp	1370	tied for 12
30	Chargers0-6	2%	Preseason 2% → now <1%	<1%	−2pp	1406	tied for 5
31	Dolphins0-5	<1%	Preseason <1% → now <1%	<1%	−1pp	1366	3
32	Titans1-5	<1%	Preseason <1% → now <1%	<1%	0pp	1313	tied for 20

Now: Current
Chg: Change, in percentage points (pp)
Rem SoS: Remaining SoS Rank (1 = hardest)