2026-27 NBA Playoff Odds

Every team’s chances to make the playoffs and win the NBA Finals.

Updated Nov 11, 2026, 3:34 AM ET

At a glance

Playoff odds since the preseason

Biggest gain: +29percentage pts; Warriors; 36% → 65%
Biggest drop: −41percentage pts; Clippers; 61% → 20%

NBA Finals odds since the preseason

Biggest gain: +6percentage pts; Celtics; 6% → 12%
Biggest drop: −5percentage pts; Knicks; 21% → 16%

Seeding

Best shot at a #1 seed: Spurs; 40% chance

Make playoffs

Chance to reach the postseason, at the start of the season and now.

PreseasonNow

Rank	Team		Pre-season to current
tied for 1	Spurs9-2	96%	Preseason 96% → now 99%	99%	+3pp	1703	19
tied for 1	Celtics9-2	84%	Preseason 84% → now 99%	99%	+15pp	1648	26
3	Knicks6-4	97%	Preseason 97% → now 98%	98%	+1pp	1668	22
tied for 4	Pistons7-3	85%	Preseason 85% → now 97%	97%	+12pp	1628	30
tied for 4	Thunder8-3	96%	Preseason 96% → now 97%	97%	+1pp	1665	28
6	Lakers10-2	76%	Preseason 76% → now 94%	94%	+18pp	1627	11
7	76ers9-3	65%	Preseason 65% → now 92%	92%	+27pp	1568	29
8	Rockets8-3	76%	Preseason 76% → now 90%	90%	+14pp	1613	24
9	Timberwolves8-3	73%	Preseason 73% → now 89%	89%	+16pp	1616	7
10	Cavaliers5-6	76%	Preseason 76% → now 80%	80%	+4pp	1546	27
11	Trail Blazers7-3	62%	Preseason 62% → now 76%	76%	+14pp	1566	10
12	Hawks7-5	63%	Preseason 63% → now 75%	75%	+12pp	1521	16
13	Nuggets5-4	81%	Preseason 81% → now 74%	74%	−7pp	1573	14
tied for 14	Raptors5-5	62%	Preseason 62% → now 65%	65%	+3pp	1509	9
tied for 14	Warriors8-3	36%	Preseason 36% → now 65%	65%	+29pp	1528	tied for 17
16	Heat5-6	58%	Preseason 58% → now 58%	58%	0pp	1486	tied for 17
17	Hornets4-7	80%	Preseason 80% → now 54%	54%	−26pp	1490	15
18	Magic3-7	67%	Preseason 67% → now 53%	53%	−14pp	1484	23
19	Suns4-6	60%	Preseason 60% → now 41%	41%	−19pp	1498	25
20	Mavericks7-4	20%	Preseason 20% → now 26%	26%	+6pp	1452	6
21	Clippers2-8	61%	Preseason 61% → now 20%	20%	−41pp	1458	12
22	Grizzlies7-3	9%	Preseason 9% → now 18%	18%	+9pp	1427	1
23	Pelicans4-7	29%	Preseason 29% → now 10%	10%	−19pp	1417	2
tied for 24	Bulls1-8	17%	Preseason 17% → now 7%	7%	−10pp	1354	21
tied for 24	Wizards4-7	4%	Preseason 4% → now 7%	7%	+3pp	1336	13
tied for 26	Pacers3-8	14%	Preseason 14% → now 5%	5%	−9pp	1341	5
tied for 26	Bucks1-10	21%	Preseason 21% → now 5%	5%	−16pp	1336	20
28	Nets2-8	7%	Preseason 7% → now 4%	4%	−3pp	1328	8
29	Kings1-10	16%	Preseason 16% → now <1%	<1%	−15pp	1327	tied for 3
30	Jazz1-10	9%	Preseason 9% → now <1%	<1%	−9pp	1287	tied for 3

Now: Current
Chg: Change, in percentage points (pp)
Rem SoS: Remaining SoS Rank (1 = hardest)

Win Finals

Chance to win the title, at the start of the season and now.

PreseasonNow

Rank	Team		Pre-season to current
1	Spurs9-2	18%	Preseason 18% → now 22%	22%	+4pp	1703	19
2	Knicks6-4	21%	Preseason 21% → now 16%	16%	−5pp	1668	22
tied for 3	Thunder8-3	17%	Preseason 17% → now 12%	12%	−5pp	1665	28
tied for 3	Celtics9-2	6%	Preseason 6% → now 12%	12%	+6pp	1648	26
5	Pistons7-3	6%	Preseason 6% → now 8%	8%	+2pp	1628	30
6	Lakers10-2	3%	Preseason 3% → now 7%	7%	+4pp	1627	11
tied for 7	Timberwolves8-3	3%	Preseason 3% → now 5%	5%	+2pp	1616	7
tied for 7	Rockets8-3	3%	Preseason 3% → now 5%	5%	+2pp	1613	24
9	76ers9-3	2%	Preseason 2% → now 3%	3%	+1pp	1568	29
tied for 10	Nuggets5-4	4%	Preseason 4% → now 2%	2%	−2pp	1573	14
tied for 10	Trail Blazers7-3	1%	Preseason 1% → now 2%	2%	+1pp	1566	10
tied for 10	Cavaliers5-6	3%	Preseason 3% → now 2%	2%	−1pp	1546	27
13	Hawks7-5	2%	Preseason 2% → now <1%	<1%	−1pp	1521	16
14	Warriors8-3	<1%	Preseason <1% → now <1%	<1%	+1pp	1528	tied for 17
15	Raptors5-5	2%	Preseason 2% → now <1%	<1%	−1pp	1509	9
16	Hornets4-7	4%	Preseason 4% → now <1%	<1%	−4pp	1490	15
17	Heat5-6	1%	Preseason 1% → now <1%	<1%	−1pp	1486	tied for 17
18	Suns4-6	1%	Preseason 1% → now <1%	<1%	−1pp	1498	25
19	Magic3-7	2%	Preseason 2% → now <1%	<1%	−2pp	1484	23
20	Clippers2-8	1%	Preseason 1% → now <1%	<1%	−1pp	1458	12
21	Mavericks7-4	<1%	Preseason <1% → now <1%	<1%	0pp	1452	6
22	Grizzlies7-3	<1%	Preseason <1% → now <1%	<1%	0pp	1427	1
23	Pelicans4-7	<1%	Preseason <1% → now <1%	<1%	0pp	1417	2
24	Pacers3-8	<1%	Preseason <1% → now <1%	<1%	0pp	1341	5
25	Bulls1-8	<1%	Preseason <1% → now <1%	<1%	0pp	1354	21
26	Wizards4-7	<1%	Preseason <1% → now <1%	<1%	0pp	1336	13
27	Bucks1-10	<1%	Preseason <1% → now <1%	<1%	0pp	1336	20
28	Nets2-8	<1%	Preseason <1% → now <1%	<1%	0pp	1328	8
29	Kings1-10	<1%	Preseason <1% → now <1%	<1%	0pp	1327	tied for 3
30	Jazz1-10	<1%	Preseason <1% → now <1%	<1%	0pp	1287	tied for 3

Now: Current
Chg: Change, in percentage points (pp)
Rem SoS: Remaining SoS Rank (1 = hardest)