2026-27 NBA Playoff Odds
Every team’s chances to make the playoffs and win the NBA Finals.
Updated Oct 22, 2026, 4:35 AM ET
At a glance
Make playoffs
Chance to reach the postseason, at the start of the season and now.
PreseasonNow
| Rank | Team | Pre-season to current | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Thunder1-0 | 96% | Preseason 96% → now 97% | 97% | +1pp | 1694 | 30 |
| tied for 2 |  Spurs0-1 | 96% | Preseason 96% → now 95% | 95% | −1pp | 1666 | 29 |
| tied for 2 |  Knicks0-1 | 97% | Preseason 97% → now 95% | 95% | −2pp | 1673 | 26 |
| 4 |  Pistons1-0 | 85% | Preseason 85% → now 88% | 88% | +3pp | 1611 | 27 |
| 5 |  Nuggets0-0 | 81% | Preseason 81% → now 82% | 82% | +1pp | 1589 | 22 |
| tied for 6 |  Celtics0-1 | 84% | Preseason 84% → now 81% | 81% | −3pp | 1589 | 28 |
| tied for 6 |  Hornets1-0 | 80% | Preseason 80% → now 81% | 81% | +1pp | 1580 | 20 |
| 8 |  Lakers1-0 | 76% | Preseason 76% → now 80% | 80% | +4pp | 1577 | 16 |
| tied for 9 |  Timberwolves1-0 | 73% | Preseason 73% → now 79% | 79% | +6pp | 1577 | 13 |
| tied for 9 |  Rockets1-0 | 76% | Preseason 76% → now 79% | 79% | +3pp | 1570 | 23 |
| 11 |  Cavaliers0-0 | 76% | Preseason 76% → now 76% | 76% | 0pp | 1565 | 24 |
| 12 |  76ers1-0 | 65% | Preseason 65% → now 72% | 72% | +7pp | 1548 | 25 |
| 13 |  Hawks1-0 | 63% | Preseason 63% → now 70% | 70% | +7pp | 1539 | 21 |
| 14 |  Trail Blazers1-0 | 62% | Preseason 62% → now 67% | 67% | +5pp | 1535 | 9 |
| 15 |  Raptors1-0 | 62% | Preseason 62% → now 66% | 66% | +4pp | 1533 | 10 |
| 16 |  Clippers1-0 | 61% | Preseason 61% → now 64% | 64% | +3pp | 1523 | 14 |
| 17 |  Magic0-1 | 67% | Preseason 67% → now 63% | 63% | −4pp | 1527 | 19 |
| 18 |  Suns0-1 | 60% | Preseason 60% → now 53% | 53% | −7pp | 1497 | tied for 17 |
| 19 |  Heat0-1 | 58% | Preseason 58% → now 51% | 51% | −7pp | 1492 | 15 |
| 20 |  Warriors0-1 | 36% | Preseason 36% → now 32% | 32% | −4pp | 1442 | tied for 17 |
| 21 |  Pelicans0-1 | 29% | Preseason 29% → now 24% | 24% | −5pp | 1421 | 8 |
| 22 |  Mavericks0-1 | 20% | Preseason 20% → now 17% | 17% | −3pp | 1394 | 12 |
| tied for 23 |  Pacers1-0 | 14% | Preseason 14% → now 16% | 16% | +2pp | 1382 | 11 |
| tied for 23 |  Bucks0-1 | 21% | Preseason 21% → now 16% | 16% | −5pp | 1386 | tied for 6 |
| tied for 25 |  Bulls0-1 | 17% | Preseason 17% → now 14% | 14% | −3pp | 1381 | tied for 6 |
| tied for 25 |  Kings0-1 | 16% | Preseason 16% → now 14% | 14% | −2pp | 1377 | 5 |
| 27 |  Grizzlies1-0 | 9% | Preseason 9% → now 11% | 11% | +2pp | 1357 | 2 |
| tied for 28 |  Nets0-1 | 7% | Preseason 7% → now 6% | 6% | −1pp | 1331 | 3 |
| tied for 28 |  Jazz0-1 | 9% | Preseason 9% → now 6% | 6% | −3pp | 1331 | 1 |
| 30 |  Wizards1-0 | 4% | Preseason 4% → now 5% | 5% | +1pp | 1313 | 4 |
- Now
- Current
- Chg
- Change, in percentage points (pp)
- Rem SoS
- Remaining SoS Rank (1 = hardest)
Win Finals
Chance to win the title, at the start of the season and now.
PreseasonNow
| Rank | Team | Pre-season to current | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder1-0 | 17% | Preseason 17% → now 21% | 21% | +4pp | 1694 | 30 |
| 2 | Knicks0-1 | 21% | Preseason 21% → now 16% | 16% | −5pp | 1673 | 26 |
| 3 | Spurs0-1 | 18% | Preseason 18% → now 14% | 14% | −4pp | 1666 | 29 |
| 4 | Pistons1-0 | 6% | Preseason 6% → now 7% | 7% | +1pp | 1611 | 27 |
| 5 | Celtics0-1 | 6% | Preseason 6% → now 5% | 5% | −1pp | 1589 | 28 |
| tied for 6 | Nuggets0-0 | 4% | Preseason 4% → now 4% | 4% | 0pp | 1589 | 22 |
| tied for 6 | Hornets1-0 | 4% | Preseason 4% → now 4% | 4% | 0pp | 1580 | 20 |
| tied for 6 | Lakers1-0 | 3% | Preseason 3% → now 4% | 4% | +1pp | 1577 | 16 |
| tied for 6 | Timberwolves1-0 | 3% | Preseason 3% → now 4% | 4% | +1pp | 1577 | 13 |
| tied for 10 | Rockets1-0 | 3% | Preseason 3% → now 3% | 3% | 0pp | 1570 | 23 |
| tied for 10 | Cavaliers0-0 | 3% | Preseason 3% → now 3% | 3% | 0pp | 1565 | 24 |
| tied for 12 | 76ers1-0 | 2% | Preseason 2% → now 2% | 2% | 0pp | 1548 | 25 |
| tied for 12 | Hawks1-0 | 2% | Preseason 2% → now 2% | 2% | 0pp | 1539 | 21 |
| tied for 12 | Raptors1-0 | 2% | Preseason 2% → now 2% | 2% | 0pp | 1533 | 10 |
| tied for 12 | Trail Blazers1-0 | 1% | Preseason 1% → now 2% | 2% | +1pp | 1535 | 9 |
| tied for 12 | Magic0-1 | 2% | Preseason 2% → now 2% | 2% | 0pp | 1527 | 19 |
| 17 | Clippers1-0 | 1% | Preseason 1% → now 1% | 1% | 0pp | 1523 | 14 |
| 18 | Suns0-1 | 1% | Preseason 1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1497 | tied for 17 |
| 19 | Heat0-1 | 1% | Preseason 1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1492 | 15 |
| 20 | Warriors0-1 | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1442 | tied for 17 |
| 21 | Pelicans0-1 | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1421 | 8 |
| 22 | Pacers1-0 | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1382 | 11 |
| 23 | Bucks0-1 | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1386 | tied for 6 |
| 24 | Mavericks0-1 | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1394 | 12 |
| 25 | Bulls0-1 | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1381 | tied for 6 |
| 26 | Kings0-1 | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1377 | 5 |
| 27 | Grizzlies1-0 | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1357 | 2 |
| 28 | Nets0-1 | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1331 | 3 |
| 29 | Jazz0-1 | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1331 | 1 |
| 30 | Wizards1-0 | <1% | Preseason <1% → now <1% | <1% | 0pp | 1313 | 4 |
- Now
- Current
- Chg
- Change, in percentage points (pp)
- Rem SoS
- Remaining SoS Rank (1 = hardest)